Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.441.13
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
210
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
38
Passes
71% (278/391)70% (275/393)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.441.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.863.21
Total shots
917
Shots on target
210
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
413
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
35
Free kicks
813
Passes
71% (278/391)70% (275/393)
Long passes
38% (28/74)37% (33/90)
Passes in final third
61% (80/132)69% (106/154)
Crosses
17% (4/23)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.89
Throw ins
2325
Fouls
138
Tackles
63% (10/16)38% (9/24)
Duels won
5471
Clearances
5240
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
92
xGOT faced
3.210.86
Goals prevented
2.210.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Norwood O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Stokes J. , Dixon R. ,
  • 46', Nixon T. , Molyneux L. ,
  • 46', Broadbent G. , Bailey O. ,
  • 46', Maxwell J. , Senior J. ,
  • 46', Robinson D. , Hanlan B. ,
  • 53', Dixon R. 🟨,
  • 66', Sidibeh A. , Olaofe T. ,
  • 66', Bate L. , Bailey O. ,
  • 79', Pearson M. 🟨,
  • 82', Close B. , Adelakun H. ,
  • 90', Molyneux L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Doncaster Rovers
28.6%
Draw
29.5%
Stockport County
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.2% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 27.6% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Doncaster Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.08
    (2.55)
    3.69
    (3.25)
    2.55
    (2.55)
    -9.3%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stockport (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Stockport (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stockport (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Stockport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Stockport has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County were as follows:
    29.12.2025 Stockport County - Doncaster Rovers 4:2
    09.12.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County 0:2
    27.01.2024 Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County 1:5
    07.10.2023 Stockport County - Doncaster Rovers 1:0
    04.03.2023 Stockport County - Doncaster Rovers 0:0
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    Latest results of Stockport County
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County0 : 1
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1Stockport CountyTBD #2