Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 34
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (241/365) | 62% (204/328) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (241/365) | 62% (204/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (19/64) | 28% (22/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (65/122) | 41% (39/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', McGrath J. 🟨,
- 3', 1 - 0, Nombe S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 10', McWilliams S. 🟨,
- 17', Byrne N. 🟨,
- 45', Spence K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Sharp B. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
- 46', Lee E. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
- 46', Adelakun H. ↓, Middleton G. ↑,
- 46', McWilliams S. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Hanlan B. ⚽, Middleton G. (A),
- 68', 1 - 2, Molyneux L. ⚽,
- 73', Sterry J. 🟨,
- 75', Watmore D. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
- 75', Benson J. ↓, Yearwood D. ↑,
- 79', Gotts R. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
- 79', Rafferty J. ↓, Cover B. ↑,
- 87', Molyneux L. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
- 90+1', James R. ↓, Sousa L. ↑,
- 90+6', Gray H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rotherham United
34.6% | Draw
26.9% | Doncaster Rovers
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(2.84) |
3.48 ↑
(3.25) |
2.45 ↑
(2.33) |
6.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Doncaster will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Doncaster has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Rotherham: Gore D.
(Injury)
Hall D.
(Inactive)
Hugill J.
(Inactive)
Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Doncaster: Clark Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 2.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Doncaster Rovers?
Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Rotherham United?
Doncaster Rovers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
30.08.2025
Doncaster Rovers
-
Rotherham United
1:0
03.08.2024
Rotherham United
-
Doncaster Rovers
0:0
Latest results of Rotherham United
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
