Result
0:0
11/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Gurrea D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Manriquez S. 🟨,
- 45', Wlk A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 45+1', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Martinez D. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
- 58', Galicia C. 🟨,
- 70', Vargas L. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 70', Ramirez A. ↓, Yanez S. ↑,
- 70', Alvarez J. 🟨,
- 76', Ibarra J. 🟨,
- 77', Calzadilla L. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
- 77', Ibarra J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 85', Meza H. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 85', Garcia Pardo M. ↓, Cantu E. ↑,
- 86', Leyva C. ↓, Rochester L. ↑,
- 86', Galicia C. ↓, Egana A. ↑,
- 90', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Vaal J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dorados
18.4% | Draw
23.2% | Atlante
58.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Dorados aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Dorados - Atlante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.08 ↑
(4.99) |
4.03 ↑
(4.01) |
1.6 ↑
(1.59) |
7.2%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dorados - Atlante?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Atlante will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlante: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlante (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Atlante (1.96) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Atlante (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 1.
- Dorados has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlante is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Atlante is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Atlante will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:43. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.4:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Atlante?
Dorados has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Dorados?
Atlante has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorados - Atlante were as follows:
01.03.2025
Dorados
-
Atlante
1:4
10.11.2024
Atlante
-
Dorados
3:0
07.11.2024
Dorados
-
Atlante
3:1
13.09.2024
Atlante
-
Dorados
4:0
28.03.2024
Dorados
-
Atlante
0:3
Latest results of Dorados
Latest results of Atlante
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
