Result
4:1
09/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Alba Dorado J. L. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | AYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Aguayo S. ⚽, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. (A),
- 8', 2 - 0, Aguayo S. ⚽, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. (A),
- 19', Ruiz L. 🟨,
- 27', 3 - 0, Moragrega V. ⚽,
- 32', Sanchez E. 🟨,
- 32', Tellez B. 🟨,
- 45+1', Aguayo S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Garcia L. ↓, Egana A. ↑,
- 46', Ruiz L. ↓, Rochester L. ↑,
- 46', Galicia C. ↓, Valenzuela A. ↑,
- 46', Moragrega V. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
- 60', Acurio J. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
- 60', Yanez S. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 1, Ramos A. ⚽, Egana A. (A),
- 65', Egana A. 🟨,
- 70', Martinez R. 🟨,
- 77', Inda C. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 84', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
- 87', Mendez F. ↓, Freyfeld E. ↑,
- 90', Flores A. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Aguayo S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tapatío
59.4% | Draw
22.8% | Dorados
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Tapatío - Dorados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.48) |
4.03 ↓
(4.2) |
5.17 ↓
(5.79) |
8.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 3.
- Tapatío has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Dorados has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Dorados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tapatío is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Dorados?
Tapatío has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Tapatío?
Dorados has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Dorados were as follows:
07.02.2025
Tapatío
-
Dorados
1:0
24.08.2024
Dorados
-
Tapatío
3:3
05.04.2024
Dorados
-
Tapatío
1:3
02.11.2023
Tapatío
-
Dorados
0:1
06.04.2023
Tapatío
-
Dorados
4:0
Latest results of Tapatío
Latest results of Dorados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
