Result
17/04/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Dorados
26.9% | Draw
27.5% | Tapatío
45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Dorados - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↑
(3.18) |
3.32 ↓
(3.53) |
2 ↓
(2.03) |
9.7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 1.
- Dorados is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tapatío's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tapatío may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tapatío could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Tapatío?
Dorados has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Dorados?
Tapatío has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorados - Tapatío were as follows:
09.11.2025
Tapatío
-
Dorados
4:1
07.02.2025
Tapatío
-
Dorados
1:0
24.08.2024
Dorados
-
Tapatío
3:3
05.04.2024
Dorados
-
Tapatío
1:3
02.11.2023
Tapatío
-
Dorados
0:1
Latest results of Dorados
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
