Result
3:1
17/04/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Santander Aguirre L. E. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Reyes J. 🟨,
- 24', Moragrega V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 29', 1 - 0, Rengifo J. ⚽, Cervantes S. (A),
- 32', Osuna D. 🟨,
- 44', Moragrega V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, Moragrega V. ⚽, Chavez A. (A),
- 52', Yanez S. 🟨,
- 53', Gonzalez Rodriguez W. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
- 59', Martinez D. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
- 59', Yanez S. ↓, Egana A. ↑,
- 64', Chavez A. 🟨,
- 65', Rengifo J. ↓, Coronel O. ↑,
- 65', Vazquez O. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Coronel O. (A),
- 69', Inda S. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 69', Villaseca D. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
- 71', Coronel O. 🟨,
- 72', Zamora S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 73', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 81', Parra R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Chavez A. ↓, Freyfeld E. ↑,
- 90+2', Ledesma L. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
Chances of winning
Dorados
19.6% | Draw
24.8% | Tapatío
55.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorados's form might have worsened.Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tapatío's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tapatío, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dorados - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.72 ↑
(3.18) |
3.74 ↑
(3.53) |
1.67 ↓
(2.03) |
7.9%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dorados - Tapatío?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tapatío will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 1.
- Dorados has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tapatío has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Dorados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tapatío is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Tapatío?
Dorados has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Dorados?
Tapatío has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorados - Tapatío were as follows:
09.11.2025
Tapatío
-
Dorados
4:1
07.02.2025
Tapatío
-
Dorados
1:0
24.08.2024
Dorados
-
Tapatío
3:3
05.04.2024
Dorados
-
Tapatío
1:3
02.11.2023
Tapatío
-
Dorados
0:1
Latest results of Dorados
Latest results of Tapatío
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2 |
Final
