Result
3:2
29/03/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Martinez E. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes 2, TVC Deportes |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 20', Aguilar D. 🟨,
- 33', Cortes J. 🟨,
- 38', Lozano M. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Galicia C. ⚽,
- 44', 0 - 2, Vargas L. ⚽,
- 45+2', Peralta J. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Aguilar D. ⚽,
- 45+7', Ramirez J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 68', 2 - 2, Pedroza M. ⚽,
- 84', 3 - 2, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
45.6% | Draw
26.8% | Dorados
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Tlaxcala - Dorados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.08) |
3.46 ↑
(3.46) |
3.35 ↑
(3.2) |
8%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 1.
- Recent matches Tlaxcala is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Dorados is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Tlaxcala could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Tlaxcala will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:13 (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tlaxcala won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Dorados?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Tlaxcala?
Dorados has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Dorados were as follows:
12.10.2024
Dorados
-
Tlaxcala
1:0
24.01.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Dorados
0:1
03.10.2023
Dorados
-
Tlaxcala
3:1
14.02.2023
Dorados
-
Tlaxcala
1:2
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Dorados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
