Result
2:0
03/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Egana A. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
- 62', Castillo E. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 65', Vazquez O. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
- 65', Manriquez S. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Blanco J. ⚽, Hernandez E. (A),
- 71', Sol M. ↓, Yanez S. ↑,
- 71', Gutierrez E. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Hernandez E. ⚽,
- 78', Figueroa F. ↓, Rojas H. ↑,
- 78', Blanco J. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
- 86', Christian ↓, Salomon O. ↑,
- 86', Iniestra A. ↓, Macias B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
70.5% | Draw
18% | Dorados
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tlaxcala's performance.Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Tlaxcala - Dorados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.43) |
5.18 ↑
(4.56) |
8.06 ↑
(6.47) |
7.5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala - Dorados?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Tlaxcala will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Dorados will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1.
- In recent matches, Tlaxcala has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dorados's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dorados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tlaxcala is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Dorados?
Tlaxcala has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Tlaxcala?
Dorados has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Dorados were as follows:
25.10.2025
Dorados
-
Tlaxcala
1:1
29.03.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Dorados
3:2
12.10.2024
Dorados
-
Tlaxcala
1:0
24.01.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Dorados
0:1
03.10.2023
Dorados
-
Tlaxcala
3:1
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Dorados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
