Result
3:2
23/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 24
- Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.88 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (200/282) | 74% (263/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (200/282) | 74% (263/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/61) | 33% (22/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (72/115) | 69% (86/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | -1.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Akmum R. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Yoon D. ⚽,
- 18', Fortes J. 🟨,
- 27', Valk S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Akmum R. ↓, Barglan S. ↑,
- 46', Sille G. ↓, de Vries J. ↑,
- 52', de Groot N. 🟨,
- 64', Hilton J. ↓, Codutti L. ↑,
- 65', de Bie J. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
- 65', Bae S. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
- 65', van Leeuwen T. ↓, Karlsson Grach S. ↑,
- 65', Verbeek D. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Felida K. ⚽, Barglan S. (A),
- 70', 2 - 1, Carrillo S. ⚽,
- 74', 2 - 2, Karlsson Grach S. ⚽, de Vries J. (A),
- 77', Yoon D. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 2, Eduardo Y. ⚽, Rossi N. (A),
- 84', Laros M. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
- 90', Darelas A. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dordrecht 43.9% | Draw 24.4% | Den Bosch 31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Dordrecht - Den Bosch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↑ (2.13) |
3.84 ↑ (3.66) |
2.93 ↑ (2.89) |
7.1% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Den Bosch?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Den Bosch will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4.
- Dordrecht has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Den Bosch has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Den Bosch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Den Bosch has had a series of home games.
- Dordrecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Malasomma M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 37:44. (average 1.9:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 2.4:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Den Bosch?
Dordrecht has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against Dordrecht?
Den Bosch has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Den Bosch were as follows:
12.09.2025
Den Bosch
-
Dordrecht
3:3
12.04.2025
Dordrecht
-
Den Bosch
4:0
01.12.2024
Den Bosch
-
Dordrecht
2:3
29.03.2024
Den Bosch
-
Dordrecht
0:3
27.10.2023
Dordrecht
-
Den Bosch
5:1
Latest results of Dordrecht
Latest results of Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )