Result
3:3
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 5
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.09 | 0.70 |
Ball Possession |
---|
70% | 30% |
Total shots |
---|
24 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
85% (382/451) | 69% (123/178) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.09 | 0.70 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.96 | 0.86 |
Total shots |
---|
24 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
18 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
44 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 8 |
Passes |
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85% (382/451) | 69% (123/178) |
Long passes |
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63% (40/63) | 51% (27/53) |
Passes in final third |
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64% (96/151) | 53% (31/59) |
Crosses |
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58% (11/19) | 40% (6/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.38 | 0.26 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 15 |
Tackles |
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44% (7/16) | 53% (10/19) |
Duels won |
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55 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.86 | 1.96 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-2.14 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', van Asten R. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
- 10', 0 - 1, Eduardo Y. ⚽, Afaker M. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Monzialo K. ⚽, Akmum R. (A),
- 30', Afaker M. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 2, Valk S. ⚽, van der Sluijs J. (A),
- 39', van der Sluijs J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 2, Monzialo K. ⚽, Verbeek D. (A),
- 51', Woudenberg L. 🟨,
- 58', de Groot N. 🟨,
- 62', Venema N. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 63', Afaker M. ↓, Pynadath J. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 2, El Allachi C. ⚽, Monzialo K. (A),
- 74', Biai C. 🟨,
- 78', Monzialo K. 🟨,
- 81', van Aken J. ↓, Hilton J. ↑,
- 81', van der Sluijs J. ↓, Sunderland L. ↑,
- 82', Verbeek D. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 87', Monzialo K. ↓, Kuijpers D. ↑,
- 90', Vetkal M. 🟥,
- 90+2', Rossi N. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 3, Pynadath J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Den Bosch 30.6% | Draw 25.2% | Dordrecht 44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Den Bosch's form might have worsened.Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dordrecht's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Den Bosch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dordrecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Den Bosch - Dordrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↑ (2.5) |
3.72 ↑ (3.6) |
2.16 ↓ (2.35) |
6.4% (10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Den Bosch - Dordrecht?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 0.
- Recent performances by Den Bosch have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dordrecht is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Den Bosch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Den Bosch: Fortes J.
(Red Card)
Karlsson Grach S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 43:34. (average 2.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against Dordrecht?
Den Bosch has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Den Bosch?
Dordrecht has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Den Bosch - Dordrecht were as follows:
12.04.2025
Dordrecht
-
Den Bosch
4:0
01.12.2024
Den Bosch
-
Dordrecht
2:3
29.03.2024
Den Bosch
-
Dordrecht
0:3
27.10.2023
Dordrecht
-
Den Bosch
5:1
21.07.2023
Dordrecht
-
Den Bosch
2:0
Latest results of Den Bosch
Latest results of Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Den Haag | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
2 | Cambuur | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Jong PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Roda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Willem II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
6 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Waalwijk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Den Bosch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Helmond | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
10 | De Graafschap | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 12 |
11 | Venlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
12 | Maastricht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
13 | Oss | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
14 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
15 | FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 10 |
16 | Almere City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 9 |
17 | Jong AZ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
18 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 6 |
20 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )