Den Bosch vs Dordrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Den Bosch - Dordrecht
Result
3:3
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 5
  • Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.70
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
2414
Shots on target
98
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
85% (382/451)69% (123/178)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.960.86
Total shots
2414
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
189
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
4418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
158
Passes
85% (382/451)69% (123/178)
Long passes
63% (40/63)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
64% (96/151)53% (31/59)
Crosses
58% (11/19)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.26
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
815
Tackles
44% (7/16)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5538
Clearances
2030
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
0.861.96
Goals prevented
-2.14-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 9', van Asten R. , Carrillo S. ,
  • 10', 0 - 1, Eduardo Y. , Afaker M. (A),
  • 12', 1 - 1, Monzialo K. , Akmum R. (A),
  • 30', Afaker M. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 2, Valk S. , van der Sluijs J. (A),
  • 39', van der Sluijs J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 2, Monzialo K. , Verbeek D. (A),
  • 51', Woudenberg L. 🟨,
  • 58', de Groot N. 🟨,
  • 62', Venema N. , Rossi N. ,
  • 63', Afaker M. , Pynadath J. ,
  • 64', 3 - 2, El Allachi C. , Monzialo K. (A),
  • 74', Biai C. 🟨,
  • 78', Monzialo K. 🟨,
  • 81', van Aken J. , Hilton J. ,
  • 81', van der Sluijs J. , Sunderland L. ,
  • 82', Verbeek D. , Semedo E. ,
  • 87', Monzialo K. , Kuijpers D. ,
  • 90', Vetkal M. 🟥,
  • 90+2', Rossi N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 3 - 3, Pynadath J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Den Bosch
30.6%
Draw
25.2%
Dordrecht
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 25.2% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 25.5% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Den Bosch's form might have worsened.
  • Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dordrecht's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Den Bosch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dordrecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Den Bosch - Dordrecht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.5)
    3.72
    (3.6)
    2.16
    (2.35)
    6.4%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Den Bosch - Dordrecht?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 0.
    • Recent performances by Den Bosch have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dordrecht is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Den Bosch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Den Bosch: Fortes J. (Red Card) Karlsson Grach S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 43:34. (average 2.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Den Bosch - Dordrecht were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Dordrecht - Den Bosch 4:0
    01.12.2024 Den Bosch - Dordrecht 2:3
    29.03.2024 Den Bosch - Dordrecht 0:3
    27.10.2023 Dordrecht - Den Bosch 5:1
    21.07.2023 Dordrecht - Den Bosch 2:0
    Latest results of Den Bosch
    04.09.2025 Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven 1:2
    29.08.2025 Emmen - Den Bosch 3:1
    24.08.2025 Den Bosch - FC Oss 5:2
    08.08.2025 Den Bosch - Jong Ajax 2:0
    12.07.2025 Den Bosch - Waalwijk 0:0
    Latest results of Dordrecht
    29.08.2025 FC Oss - Dordrecht 0:3
    23.08.2025 Dordrecht - Jong PSV 1:2
    16.08.2025 MVV Maastricht - Dordrecht 0:1
    08.08.2025 Dordrecht - Cambuur 1:0
    02.08.2025 Dordrecht - Beveren 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag981027:72025
    2Cambuur1072121:12923
    3Jong PSV1062221:13820
    4Roda1053215:14118
    5Willem II1052312:13-117
    6Dordrecht1044215:11416
    7Waalwijk1043316:14215
    8Den Bosch942320:18214
    9Helmond1041511:14-313
    10De Graafschap933315:14112
    11Venlo1040614:17-312
    12Maastricht103259:14-511
    13Oss1032516:22-611
    14Eindhoven FC103259:16-711
    15FC Emmen1031615:21-610
    16Almere City930619:1549
    17Jong AZ1022612:19-78
    18Jong Utrecht1022612:20-88
    19Jong Ajax1013616:22-66
    20Vitesse631211:101-2

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