Result
3:3
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 5
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/451) | 69% (123/178) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/451) | 69% (123/178) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (40/63) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (96/151) | 53% (31/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.14 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', van Asten R. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
- 10', 0 - 1, Eduardo Y. ⚽, Afaker M. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Monzialo K. ⚽, Akmum R. (A),
- 30', Afaker M. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 2, Valk S. ⚽, van der Sluijs J. (A),
- 39', van der Sluijs J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 2, Monzialo K. ⚽, Verbeek D. (A),
- 51', Woudenberg L. 🟨,
- 58', de Groot N. 🟨,
- 62', Venema N. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 63', Afaker M. ↓, Pynadath J. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 2, El Allachi C. ⚽, Monzialo K. (A),
- 74', Biai C. 🟨,
- 78', Monzialo K. 🟨,
- 81', van Aken J. ↓, Hilton J. ↑,
- 81', van der Sluijs J. ↓, Sunderland L. ↑,
- 82', Verbeek D. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 87', Monzialo K. ↓, Kuijpers D. ↑,
- 90', Vetkal M. 🟥,
- 90+2', Rossi N. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 3, Pynadath J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Den Bosch
30.6% | Draw
25.2% | Dordrecht
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Den Bosch's form might have worsened.Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dordrecht's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Den Bosch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dordrecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Den Bosch - Dordrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↑
(2.5) |
3.72 ↑
(3.6) |
2.16 ↓
(2.35) |
6.4%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Den Bosch - Dordrecht?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 0.
- Recent performances by Den Bosch have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dordrecht is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Den Bosch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Den Bosch: Fortes J.
(Red Card)
Karlsson Grach S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 43:34. (average 2.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against Dordrecht?
Den Bosch has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Den Bosch?
Dordrecht has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Den Bosch - Dordrecht were as follows:
12.04.2025
Dordrecht
-
Den Bosch
4:0
01.12.2024
Den Bosch
-
Dordrecht
2:3
29.03.2024
Den Bosch
-
Dordrecht
0:3
27.10.2023
Dordrecht
-
Den Bosch
5:1
21.07.2023
Dordrecht
-
Den Bosch
2:0
Latest results of Den Bosch
Latest results of Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 33:7 | 26 | 31 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Den Bosch | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23:25 | -2 | 20 |
| 7 | Willem II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
