Result
1:2
30/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 25
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (266/338) | 83% (361/437) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (266/338) | 83% (361/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 55% (33/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (57/90) | 59% (51/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.33 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Pinto J. 🟨,
- 25', Hilton J. ↓, Codutti L. ↑,
- 26', Huth E. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Buttner A. ⚽, Marschalk M. (A),
- 34', Sunderland L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Pinto J. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Carrillo S. ⚽, Yoon D. (A),
- 64', Carrillo S. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
- 65', Sunderland L. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
- 67', Bonnah S. 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 2, Venema N. ⚽, de Bie J. (A),
- 75', Hoogewerf D. 🟨,
- 76', Bonnah S. ↓, Thenu X. ↑,
- 76', Huth E. ↓, te Veluwe K. ↑,
- 76', Tahaui A. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 83', Yoon D. ↓, van Aken J. ↑,
- 90', Marschalk M. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitesse
44.2% | Draw
25.5% | Dordrecht
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Vitesse - Dordrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.33) |
3.63 ↓
(3.73) |
3.06 ↑
(2.67) |
7.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vitesse - Dordrecht?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Vitesse (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Dordrecht (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dordrecht will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Dordrecht (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 2.
- Recent performances by Vitesse have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dordrecht is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dordrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vitesse could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Dordrecht: van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Malasomma M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Dordrecht?
Vitesse has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Vitesse?
Dordrecht has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - Dordrecht were as follows:
21.11.2025
Dordrecht
-
Vitesse
1:1
24.01.2025
Vitesse
-
Dordrecht
0:3
22.10.2024
Dordrecht
-
Vitesse
2:2
Latest results of Vitesse
Latest results of Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 35 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 82:34 | 48 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 71:43 | 28 | 74 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 68:53 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Willem II | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 52:40 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Almere City | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 72:57 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 61:53 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | Roda | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 54:49 | 5 | 51 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 60:60 | 0 | 49 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 44 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 44:52 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 55:65 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 19 | Helmond | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
