Waalwijk vs Dordrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 23
  • Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.711.70
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
34
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
35
Passes
84% (378/451)80% (337/423)
Yellow cards
35
Expected goals (xG)
0.711.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.651.13
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
97
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
1011
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2123
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1112
Passes
84% (378/451)80% (337/423)
Long passes
56% (34/61)41% (26/64)
Passes in final third
76% (73/96)60% (76/126)
Crosses
29% (9/31)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.70
Throw ins
1217
Fouls
1211
Tackles
76% (16/21)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5439
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.130.65
Goals prevented
0.13-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Uneken J. , Al Mazyani F. (A),
  • 19', Bae S. 🟨,
  • 25', Valk S. 🟨,
  • 34', Cleonise D. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 34', Sunderland L. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Eduardo Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Lokesa C. 🟨,
  • 69', de Bie J. , Venema N. ,
  • 69', Codutti L. , Hilton J. ,
  • 69', Kuster H. , van der Venne R. ,
  • 70', Al Mazyani F. , Held N. ,
  • 70', Lokesa C. , van der Veen Y. ,
  • 72', Yoon D. 🟨,
  • 77', Hardley B. 🟨,
  • 79', Bae S. , Vetkal M. ,
  • 79', Yoon D. , Rossi N. ,
  • 80', Kuijpers R. , van der Leij T. ,
  • 85', van Gelderen L. 🟨,
  • 87', Held N. 🟨,
  • 88', Darelas A. , van Asten R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
54.2%
Draw
23%
Dordrecht
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 21.8% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 19% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Waalwijk - Dordrecht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.61)
    4.03
    (4.28)
    4.1
    (4.59)
    7.6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Dordrecht?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.
    • Waalwijk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dordrecht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dordrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Waalwijk has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Waalwijk is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dordrecht: Malasomma M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Dordrecht were as follows:
    20.10.2025 Dordrecht - Waalwijk 1:2
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    15.01.2026 Heerenveen - Waalwijk 3:1
    22.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Waalwijk 0:2
    18.12.2025 HSC 21 - Waalwijk 0:9
    10.12.2025 Vitesse - Waalwijk 2:1
    05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2
    Latest results of Dordrecht
    19.12.2025 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1
    12.12.2025 Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven 3:4
    06.12.2025 Willem II - Dordrecht 2:0
    28.11.2025 Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht 1:2
    25.11.2025 Roda - Dordrecht 1:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 36272782:354783
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229572:442875
    3Willem II361881054:411362
    4De Graafschap361791071:561560
    5Almere City361741573:591455
    6Waalwijk3615101166:531355
    7Roda3614121057:50754
    8Jong PSV351651463:59453
    9Den Bosch351481361:61050
    10Dordrecht3612111346:50-447
    11Eindhoven FC361351850:66-1644
    12Venlo361261847:55-842
    13FC Emmen361181755:70-1541
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht369101741:71-3037
    18Helmond36991840:61-2136
    19Oss358111646:61-1535
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie