Dordrecht vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 12
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.73
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
76% (275/363)78% (294/379)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.86
Total shots
717
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1424
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
76% (275/363)78% (294/379)
Long passes
44% (34/78)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
49% (40/82)64% (84/131)
Crosses
21% (4/19)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.40
Throw-ins
1317
Fouls
1417
Tackles
47% (8/17)59% (13/22)
Duels won
5151
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.861.24
Goals prevented
-1.140.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Eduardo Y. , Rossi N. (A),
  • 32', van Eijma R. 🟨,
  • 38', Held N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Zorgdrager B. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 54', Roemeratoe G. 🟨,
  • 56', Roemeratoe G. , Kuster H. ,
  • 65', Uneken J. , van der Leij T. ,
  • 68', Eduardo Y. , Carrillo S. ,
  • 68', Venema N. , Afaker M. ,
  • 68', Bae S. , van der Sluijs J. ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, van Kaam D. , Altena J. (A),
  • 74', van Aken J. , Codutti L. ,
  • 82', Drakpe A. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 2, van der Leij T. ,
  • 85', Cleonise D. , Panneflek O. ,
  • 85', van Kaam D. , van Hedel R. ,
  • 88', Vetkal M. , M'Bemba Y. ,
  • 90+1', Rossi N. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kuijpers R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dordrecht
42.3%
Draw
24.3%
Waalwijk
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 23.7% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 23.6% 30.8%

Dordrecht - Waalwijk Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.19
(2.03)
3.86
(3.9)
2.83
(3.02)
6.9%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Waalwijk?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Dordrecht could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Valk S. (Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    Latest results of Dordrecht
    17.10.2025 ADO Den Haag - Dordrecht 3:0
    03.10.2025 Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo 2:0
    30.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht 2:2
    26.09.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 1:1
    19.09.2025 Emmen - Dordrecht 2:0
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3
    03.10.2025 Den Bosch - Waalwijk 2:2
    29.09.2025 Waalwijk - Jong Ajax 2:1
    26.09.2025 Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag 1:3
    19.09.2025 Roda - Waalwijk 1:4
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag18161151:163549
    2Cambuur19125241:221941
    3De Graafschap1894534:26831
    4Jong PSV1994637:35231
    5Den Bosch1992838:38029
    6Willem II1985625:27-229
    7Roda1977530:27328
    8Almere City1982938:31726
    9Waalwijk1975730:31-126
    10FC Emmen1974833:34-125
    11Dordrecht1966722:24-224
    12Venlo19801124:29-524
    13Jong Utrecht1865726:30-423
    14Helmond19721026:30-423
    15Eindhoven FC19631022:36-1421
    16Jong AZ19621129:36-720
    17Oss1948721:30-920
    18Maastricht19541023:35-1219
    19Jong Ajax19261126:38-1212
    20Vitesse1865729:30-111

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )