Dordrecht vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 12
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.73
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
76% (275/363)78% (294/379)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.86
Total shots
717
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1424
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
76% (275/363)78% (294/379)
Long passes
44% (34/78)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
49% (40/82)64% (84/131)
Crosses
21% (4/19)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.40
Throw-ins
1317
Fouls
1417
Tackles
47% (8/17)59% (13/22)
Duels won
5151
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.861.24
Goals prevented
-1.140.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Eduardo Y. , Rossi N. (A),
  • 32', van Eijma R. 🟨,
  • 38', Held N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Zorgdrager B. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 54', Roemeratoe G. 🟨,
  • 56', Roemeratoe G. , Kuster H. ,
  • 65', Uneken J. , van der Leij T. ,
  • 68', Eduardo Y. , Carrillo S. ,
  • 68', Venema N. , Afaker M. ,
  • 68', Bae S. , van der Sluijs J. ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, van Kaam D. , Altena J. (A),
  • 74', van Aken J. , Codutti L. ,
  • 82', Drakpe A. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 2, van der Leij T. ,
  • 85', Cleonise D. , Panneflek O. ,
  • 85', van Kaam D. , van Hedel R. ,
  • 88', Vetkal M. , M'Bemba Y. ,
  • 90+1', Rossi N. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kuijpers R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dordrecht
42.3%
Draw
24.3%
Waalwijk
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 23.7% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 23.6% 30.8%

Dordrecht - Waalwijk Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.19
(2.03)
3.86
(3.9)
2.83
(3.02)
6.9%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Waalwijk?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Dordrecht could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Valk S. (Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    Latest results of Dordrecht
    17.10.2025 ADO Den Haag - Dordrecht 3:0
    03.10.2025 Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo 2:0
    30.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht 2:2
    26.09.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 1:1
    19.09.2025 Emmen - Dordrecht 2:0
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3
    03.10.2025 Den Bosch - Waalwijk 2:2
    29.09.2025 Waalwijk - Jong Ajax 2:1
    26.09.2025 Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag 1:3
    19.09.2025 Roda - Waalwijk 1:4
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag20171256:213552
    2Cambuur21145246:222447
    3De Graafschap21114642:33937
    4Roda2197536:30634
    5Jong PSV21104741:39234
    6Almere City21102945:351032
    7Den Bosch21102940:39132
    8Venlo211001128:30-230
    9Willem II2186727:30-330
    10Waalwijk2185833:33029
    11FC Emmen2184939:39028
    12Eindhoven FC21831029:41-1227
    13Jong Utrecht2175933:37-426
    14Dordrecht2166926:31-524
    15Helmond21731129:36-724
    16Maastricht21641125:40-1522
    17Jong AZ21621332:43-1120
    18Oss2148926:37-1120
    19Vitesse2075831:33-214
    20Jong Ajax21261327:42-1512

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )