Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        10/08/2025 at  18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 4
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 54% | 46% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Hang F. 🟨, 
- 32', Pezzi A. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Pezzi A. ↓, Magnago B. ↑, 
- 59', Jaime J. ↓, Sagristani M. ↑, 
- 67',  🟨, 
- 75', Mauri M. ↓, Santangelo E. ↑, 
- 75', Bogado E. ↓, Sveruk L. ↑, 
- 75', Gonzalez F. ↓, Orlando M. ↑, 
- 75', Pennesi T. ↓, Brylko H. ↑, 
- 85', 1 - 0, Avaro E. (Pen), 
- 86', Avaro E. ↓, Culasso L. ↑, 
- 86', Rossi J. ↓, Cortizo P. ↑, 
- 86', Baglivo G. L. ↓, Munoz L. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Sportivo Belgrano 44.4%
 | Draw 31.4%
 | Douglas Haig 24.2%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Belgrano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+4.8%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.05 ↑ (1.93)
 | 2.91 ↓ (3.14)
 | 3.77 ↑ (3.73)
 | 9.6% (10.5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 2.
- In recent matches, Sportivo Belgrano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Douglas Haig is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sportivo Belgrano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sportivo Belgrano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Belgrano won against Douglas Haig?
                    
                    
                        
                            Sportivo Belgrano has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Douglas Haig won against Sportivo Belgrano?
                    
                    
                        
                             Douglas Haig has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig were as follows:
                                                        
                                18.05.2025 
                                Douglas Haig 
                                - 
                                Sportivo Belgrano 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                30.06.2024 
                                Douglas Haig 
                                - 
                                Sportivo Belgrano 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.05.2024 
                                Sportivo Belgrano 
                                - 
                                Douglas Haig 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                02.10.2023 
                                Sportivo Belgrano 
                                - 
                                Douglas Haig 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                02.08.2023 
                                Douglas Haig 
                                - 
                                Sportivo Belgrano 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Sportivo Belgrano                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Douglas Haig                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Cipolletti (12) | Kimberley (13) | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 | 
| 2 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1) | Juventud U.U. (24) | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 | 
| 3 | Villa Mitre (10) | Guillermo Brown (15) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 | 
| 4 | Bye | Sportivo Belgrano (1) |  | 
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela (7) | Germinal (18) | 5 : 0, 1 : 1 | 
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon (4) | Sportivo Las Parejas (21) | 5 : 0, 0 : 2 | 
| 7 | Biblioteca Atenas (6) | Sarmiento Resistencia (19) | 4 : 0, 1 : 0 | 
| 8 | Sarmiento de La Banda (5) | San Martin Mendoza (20) | 1 : 1, 0 : 0 | 
| 9 | Independiente Chivilcoy (11) | Douglas Haig (14) | 1 : 0, 2 : 4 | 
| 10 | Argentino MM (2) | Bye |  | 
| 11 | Juventud Antoniana (9) | Boca Unidos (16) | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 | 
| 12 | Chivilcoy (2) | El Linqueno (23) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 | 
| 13 | Costa Brava (8) | Bartolome Mitre (17) | 0 : 0, 1 : 1 | 
| 14 | San Martin Formosa (3) | Sol de Mayo (22) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 | 
1/8-finals| 1 | Kimberley (12) | Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3) | 1 : 1 | 
| 2 | Guillermo Brown (14) | Sportivo Belgrano (1) | 2 : 0 | 
| 3 | 9 de Julio Rafaela (9) | Deportivo Rincon (6) | 2 : 1 | 
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas (8) | Sarmiento de La Banda (7) | 1 : 0 | 
| 5 | Douglas Haig (13) | Argentino MM (2) | 2 : 0 | 
| 6 | Juventud Antoniana (11) | Chivilcoy (4) | 0 : 0 | 
| 7 | Costa Brava (10) | San Martin Formosa (5) | 1 : 1 |