Salisbury vs Dover Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Willard T. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Sheriff D. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Jolliffe M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Salisbury
57.5%
Draw
22.9%
Dover Athletic
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 27.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 26.7% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salisbury's performance.
  • Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dover Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-14%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salisbury that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dover Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Salisbury - Dover Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.18)
    4.06
    (3.4)
    4.73
    (3.09)
    7.7%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 19 and 17)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Salisbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Salisbury is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Salisbury won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Salisbury - Dover Athletic were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Dover Athletic - Salisbury 2:0
    Latest results of Salisbury
    21.03.2026 Salisbury - Enfield Town 2:0
    14.03.2026 Slough Town - Salisbury 3:3
    10.03.2026 Torquay United - Salisbury 2:1
    03.03.2026 Hornchurch - Salisbury 1:0
    Latest results of Dover Athletic
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Worthing442491196:504681
    2Dorking442391276:571978
    3Torquay442381384:592577
    4Hornchurch4322101175:601576
    5Hemel Hempstead442291352:46675
    6Ebbsfleet4421111269:521774
    7Maidenhead4421101365:412473
    8Weston-super-Mare432271459:471273
    9Maidstone4420111367:472071
    10Chesham442181566:511571
    11Chelmsford432091467:561169
    12Dag & Red4417121559:59063
    13AFC Totton431861954:70-1660
    14Tonbridge4415121759:62-357
    15Horsham FC4314141549:49056
    16Slough441492164:80-1651
    17Hampton & Richmond4413112055:68-1350
    18Farnborough4413112065:85-2050
    19Dover4413102158:72-1449
    20Salisbury4413102147:63-1649
    21Chippenham ✔ 441192450:74-2442
    22Bath439132144:71-2740
    23Enfield Town ✔ 448132350:79-2937
    24Eastbourne Boro ✔ 44892754:86-3233

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Chippenham is Relegated to
    Enfield Town is Relegated to
    Eastbourne Boro is Relegated to