Result
1:2 penalties
16/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FAI Cup - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV, RTE 2, RTE Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Quinn A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Fleming B. 🟨,
- 57', Whyte G. ↓, Doherty B. ↑,
- 57', Bannon A. ↓, Boyce L. ↑,
- 57', Diallo S. ↓, Boyce R. ↑,
- 57', Fleming B. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
- 65', Farrell S. ↓, Heeney L. ↑,
- 67', Brennan R. 🟨,
- 68', Stott J. 🟨,
- 71', Thomas J. ↓, Oluwa T. ↑,
- 71', Bolger J. ↓, Cooper G. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Duffy M. ⚽,
- 79', Dennison L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Akinyemi D. ↓, Frizzell A. ↑,
- 90+7', Lambe O. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 94', Davis W. ↓, Kareem D. ↑,
- 97', Kane C. ↓, Cruise K. ↑,
- 97', Brennan R. ↓, O'Sullivan J. ↑,
- 101', Boyce L. ↓, Todd S. ↑,
- 102', Connolly M. 🟨,
- 120+3', Doherty B. 🟨,
- Penalties (0 - 3)
- 1, Stott J. (Pen),
- 1, Keeley C. (Pen),
- 2, Frizzell A. (Pen),
- 2, Oluwa T. (Pen),
- 3, Mullen D. (Pen),
- 3, Lambe O. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Derry City
51.8% | Draw
28% | Drogheda United
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Derry City - Drogheda United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.67) |
3.39 ↓
(3.75) |
4.71 ↑
(4.44) |
5.3%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derry City - Drogheda United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Derry (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 1.
- Derry has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Drogheda United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Drogheda United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Derry is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Drogheda United?
Derry City has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Drogheda United won against Derry City?
Drogheda United has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Drogheda United were as follows:
27.06.2025
Derry City
-
Drogheda United
0:0
16.05.2025
Drogheda United
-
Derry City
1:1
11.04.2025
Derry City
-
Drogheda United
1:3
10.11.2024
Drogheda United
-
Derry City
2:0
27.09.2024
Drogheda United
-
Derry City
2:1
Latest results of Derry City
Latest results of Drogheda United
Draw
20251/32-finals| 1 | Kerry | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Athlone | |
| 3 | College Corinthians | Bangor Celtic | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Cobh Ramblers | |
| 5 | Midleton | Killester Donnycarney | 0 : 6 |
| 6 | Bye | Bohemians | |
| 7 | Dundalk | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Sligo Rovers | |
| 9 | Treaty United | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Derry City | |
| 11 | Drogheda | Bye | |
| 12 | Crumlin Utd | Lucan Utd | 4 : 2 |
| 13 | Shamrock Rovers | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Wexford | |
| 15 | North End United | Castlebar Celtic | 1 : 4 |
| 16 | Bye | Longford | |
| 17 | Finn Harps | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | UC Dublin | |
| 19 | Bray | Bye | |
| 20 | Wayside Celtic | River Valley | 4 : 0 |
| 21 | Cork City | Bye | |
| 22 | Leicester Celtic AFC | Fanad United | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Waterford | Bye | |
| 24 | St Mochta's | Douglas Hall | 4 : 0 |
| 25 | St. Patricks | Bye | |
| 26 | Ringmahon Rangers | University College Cork | 1 : 3 |
| 27 | Fairview Rangers | Baldoyle Utd. | 4 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
| 29 | Salthill | Liffey Wanderers | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | St. Michaels (WO.) | Usher Celtic | |
| 31 | Galway | Bye | |
| 32 | Tolka | Janesboro | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Kerry | Athlone | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bangor Celtic | Cobh Ramblers | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Killester Donnycarney | Bohemians | 0 : 7 |
| 4 | Dundalk | Sligo Rovers | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Treaty United | Derry City | 1 : 5 |
| 6 | Drogheda | Crumlin Utd | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Shamrock Rovers | Wexford | 4 : 0 |
| 8 | Castlebar Celtic | Longford | 3 : 6 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | UC Dublin | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bray | Wayside Celtic | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Cork City | Leicester Celtic AFC | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Waterford | St Mochta's | 5 : 1 |
| 13 | St. Patricks | University College Cork | 8 : 0 |
| 14 | Fairview Rangers | Shelbourne | 0 : 4 |
| 15 | Salthill | St. Michaels | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Galway | Tolka | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kerry | Cobh Ramblers | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bohemians | Sligo Rovers | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Derry City | Drogheda | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shamrock Rovers | Longford | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Finn Harps | Bray | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Cork City | Waterford | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | St. Patricks | Shelbourne | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Salthill | Galway | 0 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kerry | Sligo Rovers | |
| 2 | Drogheda | Shamrock Rovers | |
| 3 | Finn Harps | Cork City | |
| 4 | St. Patricks | Galway | |
