Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 51% (133/261) | 66% (240/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 51% (133/261) | 66% (240/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (24/91) | 36% (30/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 37% (40/108) | 56% (73/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.98 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Cann H. 🟨,
- 36', Keeley C. 🟨,
- 38', Diallo S. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Kareem D. ⚽, Keeley C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Connolly M. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 1, Mullen D. ⚽,
- 65', Farrell S. ↓, Heeney L. ↑,
- 70', Kareem D. ↓, Davis W. ↑,
- 78', Connolly M. ↓, Dummigan C. ↑,
- 83', Winchester C. 🟨,
- 86', Markey D. 🟨,
- 86', Mullen D. ↓, Whyte G. ↑,
- 87', Thomas J. ↓, Stretton J. ↑,
- 90', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Drogheda United
26.7% | Draw
31.9% | Derry City
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+3%)
Drogheda United - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↑
(3.37) |
2.93 ↓
(3.2) |
2.26 ↑
(2.14) |
6.9%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Drogheda United - Derry City?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Drogheda United will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Derry will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 3.
- Drogheda United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Derry has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Derry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Derry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Drogheda United: Ahui E.
(Knee Injury)
Bawa Z.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Derry: Boyce L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Drogheda United: Brady S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Derry: Akinyemi D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Drogheda United won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Drogheda United won against Derry City?
Drogheda United has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Drogheda United?
Derry City has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Drogheda United - Derry City were as follows:
16.08.2025
Derry City
-
Drogheda United
1:2
27.06.2025
Derry City
-
Drogheda United
0:0
16.05.2025
Drogheda United
-
Derry City
1:1
11.04.2025
Derry City
-
Drogheda United
1:3
10.11.2024
Drogheda United
-
Derry City
2:0
Latest results of Drogheda United
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 53:27 | 26 | 63 |
| 2 | Derry City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 51 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 42:33 | 9 | 50 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 35:31 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | St. Patricks | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 38:48 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Galway | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | -8 | 34 |
| 9 | Waterford | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 36:56 | -20 | 34 |
| 10 | Cork City | 32 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31:56 | -25 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
