Result
27/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 22
- Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (632/740) | 61% (165/269) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (632/740) | 61% (165/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (36/74) | 31% (24/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (161/205) | 38% (36/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Todd S. ⚽, Duffy M. (A),
- 36', 2 - 0, Boyce R. ⚽,
- 38', Heeney L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Kane C. ↓, Cruise K. ↑,
- 55', Brennan R. ↓, Brady S. ↑,
- 57', Quinn A. 🟨,
- 60', Farrell S. ↓, Markey D. ↑,
- 60', Oluwa T. ↓, Kareem D. ↑,
- 63', Diallo S. ↓, O'Reilly A. ↑,
- 75', Boyce L. ↓, Benson R. ↑,
- 75', Whyte G. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
- 76', Winchester C. ↓, McMullan P. ↑,
- 77', Brady S. 🟨,
- 88', James-Taylor D. ↓, Bosakani B. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 0, Mullen D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Derry City
57.5% | Draw
26.9% | Drogheda United
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derry City's performance.Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Drogheda United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Derry City - Drogheda United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.83) |
3.42 ↑
(3.38) |
5.91 ↑
(4.45) |
7.2%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derry City - Drogheda United?
Users Predictions:
Derry City will win
(26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derry City will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Drogheda United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Derry is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Drogheda United?
Derry City has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Drogheda United won against Derry City?
Drogheda United has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Drogheda United were as follows:
16.05.2025
Drogheda United
-
Derry City
1:1
11.04.2025
Derry City
-
Drogheda United
1:3
10.11.2024
Drogheda United
-
Derry City
2:0
27.09.2024
Drogheda United
-
Derry City
2:1
28.06.2024
Derry City
-
Drogheda United
5:1
Latest results of Derry City
Latest results of Drogheda United
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 44:23 | 21 | 49 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 42 |
| 3 | Derry City | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Waterford | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 32:44 | -12 | 33 |
| 7 | St. Patricks | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 8 | Galway | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 26 |
| 10 | Cork City | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27:46 | -19 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
