Result
2:2
20/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (316/414) | 58% (153/265) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (316/414) | 58% (153/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (31/84) | 24% (21/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (86/138) | 37% (38/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Duffy M. ⚽, Stott J. (A),
- 16', Agbaje E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', 2 - 0, Markey D. ⚽, McClean J. (A),
- 48', Burney L. 🟨,
- 56', Markey D. 🟨,
- 56', Burney L. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
- 56', Kavanagh B. ↓, Farrell S. ↑,
- 57', Oluwa T. ↓, Davis W. ↑,
- 60', Clarke J. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Doyle M. ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 2, Davis W. ⚽,
- 71', McClean J. ↓, Akinyemi D. ↑,
- 71', Markey D. ↓, Doherty B. ↑,
- 71', Clarke J. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 89', Stott J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Bucknor J. ↓, Bolger J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derry City
58.4% | Draw
24.7% | Drogheda United
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Drogheda United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Derry City - Drogheda United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.57) |
3.82 ↓
(4.1) |
5.47 ↓
(5.69) |
6.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derry City - Drogheda United?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Drogheda United will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Derry (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, Derry is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Drogheda United?
Derry City has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Drogheda United won against Derry City?
Drogheda United has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Drogheda United were as follows:
26.09.2025
Drogheda United
-
Derry City
1:1
16.08.2025
Derry City
-
Drogheda United
1:2
27.06.2025
Derry City
-
Drogheda United
0:0
16.05.2025
Drogheda United
-
Derry City
1:1
11.04.2025
Derry City
-
Drogheda United
1:3
Latest results of Derry City
Latest results of Drogheda United
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Derry City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Drogheda | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Galway | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 | Waterford | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
