Result
4:1
13/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 6
- Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.29 | 1.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (446/529) | 66% (179/273) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.29 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.11 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (446/529) | 66% (179/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (34/63) | 32% (21/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (134/186) | 45% (41/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 4.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Oluwa T. ⚽, Keeley C. (A),
- 22', Burney L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 1, Edmondson R. ⚽,
- 60', Edmondson R. 🟨,
- 60', Doyle M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', Nugent D. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Keena A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', 3 - 1, Leavy K. ⚽,
- 69', Doyle M. ↓, Davis W. ↑,
- 73', Farrell S. ↓, O'Brien E. ↑,
- 73', Burney L. ↓, Bolger J. ↑,
- 73', Agbaje E. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
- 74', Edmondson R. ↓, Mata M. A. ↑,
- 75', Bucknor J. 🟨,
- 80', Davis W. ↓, Cruise K. ↑,
- 82', 4 - 1, Palmer R. ⚽, Brown J. (A),
- 84', Hoare S. ↓, Bartley R. ↑,
- 85', Palmer R. ↓, Canny B. ↑,
- 85', Brown J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
Chances of winning
St Patricks Athletic
55.5% | Draw
27.1% | Drogheda United
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.72) |
3.45 ↓
(3.63) |
5.31 ↑
(5) |
6.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Drogheda United will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Patricks: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Drogheda United (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St Patricks Athletic will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Drogheda United (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 2.
- St Patricks is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Drogheda United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- St Patricks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, St Patricks is the team to beat.
- There will not play in St Patricks: Elbouzedi Z.
(Injury)
Power S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Drogheda United: Brady S.
(Inactive)
Davis W.
(Inactive)
Lambe O.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:10. (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 1.5:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Drogheda United?
St Patricks Athletic has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Drogheda United won against St Patricks Athletic?
Drogheda United has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United were as follows:
22.08.2025
Drogheda United
-
St Patricks Athletic
0:1
13.06.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Drogheda United
0:0
21.04.2025
Drogheda United
-
St Patricks Athletic
0:0
14.02.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Drogheda United
0:0
01.09.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Drogheda United
4:1
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Latest results of Drogheda United
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Derry City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Drogheda | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Galway | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 | Waterford | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
