Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 29
- Referee: Nehasil L. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.52 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
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| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
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| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
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| 82% (422/516) | 66% (174/263) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.52 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.85 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
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| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 29 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
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| 82% (422/516) | 66% (174/263) |
| Long passes |
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| 45% (27/60) | 33% (23/69) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 72% (113/158) | 53% (48/90) |
| Crosses |
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| 36% (4/11) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.82 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
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| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
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| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
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| 67% (8/12) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
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| 51 | 48 |
| Clearances |
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| 26 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.72 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.28 | 0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Cermak M. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Kreiker D. ⚽, Cermak M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kreiker D. ↓, Velasquez D. ↑,
- 48', Tijani S. 🟨,
- 57', Kostka D. 🟨,
- 60', Gilbert D. 🟨,
- 61', Matousek F. ↓, Langhamer D. ↑,
- 61', Kozel D. ↓, Kolarik J. ↑,
- 61', Sehovic Z. ↓, Pourzitidis M. ↑,
- 61', Tijani S. ↓, Hanousek Mar. ↑,
- 72', Cermak M. ↓, Unusic B. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Sevcik M. ⚽, Kolarik J. (A),
- 81', Lehky F. ↓, Subert M. ↑,
- 81', John S. ↓, Krulich M. ↑,
- 83', Penxa L. ↓, Mikus R. ↑,
- 85', Krulich M. 🟨,
- 86', Kozma D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Macek R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Sevcik M. ↓, Donat D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mladá Boleslav 53.3% | Draw 25.7% | Dukla Prague 21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Dukla Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Mladá Boleslav - Dukla Prague Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↑ (1.75) |
3.67 ↑ (3.66) |
4.47 ↑ (4.35) |
6.5% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mladá Boleslav - Dukla Prague?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Dukla Prague will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mladá Boleslav: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mladá Boleslav (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 2.
- Mladá Boleslav is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dukla Prague's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Mladá Boleslav is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mladá Boleslav won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Dukla Prague?
Mladá Boleslav has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dukla Prague won against Mladá Boleslav?
Dukla Prague has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mladá Boleslav - Dukla Prague were as follows:
08.11.2025
Dukla Prague
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Mladá Boleslav
0:1
05.07.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Dukla Prague
2:4
11.05.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Dukla Prague
2:3
06.04.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Dukla Prague
0:1
14.01.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Dukla Prague
5:2
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Latest results of Dukla Prague
Czech 1 Liga Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 63:23 | 40 | 71 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 60:33 | 27 | 63 |
| 3 | Plzen | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50:34 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 6 | Liberec | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 43:30 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 34:34 | 0 | 43 |
| 8 | FK Pardubice | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 41 |
| 9 | Karvina | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 43:51 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 26:35 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Zlin | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 37:48 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Teplice | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Dukla Prague | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 20:42 | -22 | 23 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 23 |
| 16 | Ostrava | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 25:45 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )