Result
3:3
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 3)
- 20', 1 - 0, Honeyman S. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, Arnott A. (Pen),
- 26', 1 - 2, Cole R. ⚽, Johnston C. (A),
- 36', 1 - 3, Arnott A. (Pen),
- 39', 2 - 3, Arnott A. (Own goal),
- 45+1', 3 - 3, Wallace T. ⚽, Honeyman S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Dumbarton
37.8% | Draw
26.3% | Kelty Hearts
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dumbarton's form might have worsened.Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dumbarton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kelty Hearts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dumbarton - Kelty Hearts Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.07) |
3.61 ↓
(3.65) |
2.62 ↓
(2.94) |
4%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Dumbarton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kelty Hearts has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Kelty Hearts has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dumbarton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Dumbarton won against Kelty Hearts?
Dumbarton has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kelty Hearts won against Dumbarton?
Kelty Hearts has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dumbarton - Kelty Hearts were as follows:
05.04.2025
Kelty Hearts
-
Dumbarton
0:6
28.12.2024
Dumbarton
-
Kelty Hearts
2:0
09.11.2024
Kelty Hearts
-
Dumbarton
2:0
31.08.2024
Dumbarton
-
Kelty Hearts
2:2
09.09.2023
Dumbarton
-
Kelty Hearts
1:3
Latest results of Dumbarton
Latest results of Kelty Hearts
Scottish Challenge Cup Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inverness ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 16 | 15 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 15 |
| 3 | Montrose ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Edinburgh City ✔ | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Dumbarton ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | East Fife ✔ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Stranraer ✔ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts ✔ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Alloa ✔ | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Clyde ✔ | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Forfar Athletic ✔ | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | East Kilbride ✔ | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Cove Rangers ✔ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 14 | Spartans ✔ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Peterhead ✔ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 8 |
| 16 | Elgin City ✔ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 | Queen of South | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 | Hamilton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 6 |
| 20 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 | Stirling | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 | Hibernian B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 23 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 4 |
| 24 | Hearts B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 3 |
| 25 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 26 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 1 |
| 27 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 1 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:18 | -15 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Challenge Cup (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inverness is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Stenhousemuir is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Montrose is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Edinburgh City is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Dumbarton is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
East Fife is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Stranraer is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Kelty Hearts is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Alloa is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Clyde is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Forfar Athletic is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
East Kilbride is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Cove Rangers is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Spartans is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Peterhead is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Elgin City is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
