Result
2:0
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 3
- Referee: McLean S. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | Red TV |
 United-kingdom | Dundee United TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (244/336) | 79% (357/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (244/336) | 79% (357/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/65) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (77/137) | 66% (80/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Sapsford Z. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Dolcek I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dorrington A. ↓, Milne J. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Esselink B. ⚽, Sevelj V. (A),
- 66', Nisbet K. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
- 67', Polvara D. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 67', Nilsen S. ↓, Aouchiche A. ↑,
- 74', Iovu I. ↓, Sibbald C. ↑,
- 77', Fatah A. ↓, Moller N. ↑,
- 83', Camara P. ↓, Eskesen J. ↑,
- 83', Dolcek I. ↓, Naamo D. ↑,
- 86', Milanovic N. ↓, Keskinen T. ↑,
- 90+2', Sevelj V. 🟨,
- 90+5', Yengi K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dundee United
46.7% | Draw
29.1% | Aberdeen
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dundee United's performance.Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aberdeen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dundee United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aberdeen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dundee United - Aberdeen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.42) |
3.57 ↑
(3.45) |
4.64 ↑
(2.72) |
-4.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dundee United - Aberdeen?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Dundee Utd will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundee Utd: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dundee Utd (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Dundee Utd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Aberdeen has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Dundee Utd: Graham R.
(Muscle Injury)
Pappoe I.
(Knee Injury)
Sevelj V.
(Red Card)
Strain R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Trapanovski K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Watters M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundee Utd won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee United won against Aberdeen?
Dundee United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Dundee United?
Aberdeen has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee United - Aberdeen were as follows:
17.05.2025
Dundee United
-
Aberdeen
2:1
02.03.2025
Aberdeen
-
Dundee United
2:2
29.12.2024
Dundee United
-
Aberdeen
1:0
26.10.2024
Aberdeen
-
Dundee United
1:0
04.03.2023
Dundee United
-
Aberdeen
1:3
Latest results of Dundee United
Latest results of Aberdeen
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Celtic | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | St. Mirren | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Rangers | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Livingston | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
