Result
2:1
03/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 23
- Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee United TV, St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (194/329) | 49% (140/285) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (194/329) | 49% (140/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (20/79) | 23% (18/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (64/130) | 38% (45/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 60 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Fraser M. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Idowu R. ↓, Young J. ↑,
- 46', Agyei E. 🟨,
- 47', 1 - 1, Young J. ⚽, Tanser S. (A),
- 65', Tanser S. ↓, John D. ↑,
- 66', Fatah A. 🟨,
- 69', Watters M. ↓, Sapsford Z. ↑,
- 75', Farrugia N. ↓, Ferry W. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Fatah A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', Fatah A. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
- 84', Camara P. ↓, Trapanovski K. ↑,
- 84', Richardson J. ↓, King R. ↑,
- 84', O'Hara M. ↓, Calvin J. ↑,
- 90+1', Freckleton M. 🟨,
- 90+1', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Etete K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dundee United
38.8% | Draw
29.7% | St. Mirren
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Dundee United - St. Mirren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.53) |
3.14 ↑
(3.12) |
2.98 ↑
(2.92) |
6.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dundee United - St. Mirren?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Dundee Utd will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). St. Mirren will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 12% – 65%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Dundee Utd (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dundee Utd (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 3.
- Dundee Utd has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- St. Mirren is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- St. Mirren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, St. Mirren has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Dundee Utd: Pappoe I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Ayunga J.
(Tendon Injury)
Baccus K.
(Hamstring Injury)
O'Hara M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundee Utd won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee United won against St. Mirren?
Dundee United has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Dundee United?
St. Mirren has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee United - St. Mirren were as follows:
06.12.2025
St. Mirren
-
Dundee United
2:0
25.10.2025
Dundee United
-
St. Mirren
3:1
10.05.2025
Dundee United
-
St. Mirren
0:2
11.01.2025
St. Mirren
-
Dundee United
0:1
30.11.2024
Dundee United
-
St. Mirren
2:0
Latest results of Dundee United
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 52:25 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Celtic ✔ | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 56:32 | 24 | 61 |
| 3 | Rangers ✔ | 30 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 60 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 49:23 | 26 | 53 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 47 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 38:38 | 0 | 43 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 38:48 | -10 | 34 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 24 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 33:60 | -27 | 24 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 31:59 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
