Result
1:0
11/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 26
- Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee TV, Falkirk TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/396) | 82% (314/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/396) | 82% (314/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 58% (36/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (82/121) | 68% (78/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 23% (7/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 0, Broggio B. ⚽,
- 65', Lissah F. 🟨,
- 73', Adams K. 🟨,
- 76', Cartwright H. ↓, Spencer B. ↑,
- 76', Ross E. ↓, Miller C. ↑,
- 76', Marsh L. ↓, Yeats F. ↑,
- 78', Murray S. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
- 78', Cotterill J. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
- 80', Adams K. ↓, McCann L. ↑,
- 80', Congreve C. ↓, Samuels I. ↑,
- 89', Yogane T. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
- 89', Broggio B. ↓, Allan C. ↑,
- 90+4', Hogarth N. 🟨,
- 90+5', Dhanda Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', Dhanda Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Falkirk
51.7% | Draw
26.8% | Dundee
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Falkirk - Dundee Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.73) |
3.53 ↑
(3.42) |
4.39 ↓
(4.83) |
5.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Falkirk - Dundee?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Falkirk will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Dundee will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Falkirk: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Falkirk (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 1.
- Falkirk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dundee is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dundee may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Falkirk is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Falkirk: Parkinson B.
(Inactive)
Williams E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dundee: Hay A.
(Inactive)
Koumetio B.
(Knee Injury)
Robertson C.
(Thigh Injury)
Westley J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Falkirk will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Falkirk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Dundee?
Falkirk has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee won against Falkirk?
Dundee has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Falkirk - Dundee were as follows:
27.12.2025
Dundee
-
Falkirk
1:0
25.10.2025
Falkirk
-
Dundee
2:1
08.12.2022
Falkirk
-
Dundee
0:3
30.08.2022
Dundee
-
Falkirk
3:0
Latest results of Falkirk
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 52:24 | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 47:18 | 29 | 53 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 34:45 | -11 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 28:39 | -11 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 28 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22:43 | -21 | 24 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 31:59 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
