Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 22
  • Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaPars TV Arabic
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomGrenock Morton

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Corner kicks
26
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
74
Corner kicks
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Brophy E. , Moffat O. (A),
  • 33', Gillespie G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kearney S. , Tod A. ,
  • 53', Ngwenya K. 🟥,
  • 58', Fraser R. 🟨,
  • 63', Brophy E. , O'Halloran M. ,
  • 64', Chilokoa-Mullen J. 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 0, MacPherson C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 68', Amade A. , Kane Ch. ,
  • 68', Morrison C. , Turley F. ,
  • 84', O'Halloran M. 🟨,
  • 85', Garrity M. , Shaw N. ,
  • 90+2', Delaney Z. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Greenock Morton
31.3%
Draw
30.6%
Dunfermline Athletic
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 30.4% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 30.6% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.76)
    3
    (3.07)
    2.43
    (2.61)
    8.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Greenock will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Dunfermline will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Greenock (votes: 1 - 50%). Dunfermline (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Greenock (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Greenock (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dunfermline (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 2.
    • Greenock is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Dunfermline is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dunfermline may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Greenock won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton 1:0
    02.08.2025 Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic 0:0
    02.05.2025 Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic 2:0
    01.03.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton 2:1
    21.12.2024 Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic 2:0
    Latest results of Greenock Morton
    Latest results of Dunfermline Athletic
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone29179353:223160
    2Partick Thistle281410442:311152
    3Arbroath291111737:33444
    4Dunfermline281161140:32839
    5Ayr28714734:34035
    6Queen's Park298111032:41-935
    7Raith28791228:31-330
    8Morton296121129:40-1130
    9Airdrieonians29691423:36-1327
    10Ross County29691425:43-1827

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One