Result
2:0
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 28
- Referee: Thual O. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (188/272) | 83% (412/496) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (188/272) | 83% (412/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (32/71) | 38% (18/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (56/96) | 60% (60/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.55 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 41 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Vincent C. ⚽,
- 8', Janneh J. 🟨,
- 22', Raghouber U. 🟨,
- 32', Bammou Y. 🟨,
- 43', Akueson G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Rivera M. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 56', Ariss Z. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
- 66', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 67', Cisse L. ↓, Tramoni L. ↑,
- 67', Courtet G. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 0, Ble M. ⚽, Ducrocq T. (A),
- 77', Abner F. 🟨,
- 78', Bardeli E. ↓, Al Saad M. ↑,
- 78', Skytta N. ↓, Sekongo A. ↑,
- 84', Boutrah A. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
- 84', Janneh J. ↓, Roncaglia A. ↑,
- 90', Maggiotti J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bastia
43.5% | Draw
30.3% | Dunkerque
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Bastia - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.1) |
3.08 ↓
(3.11) |
3.6 ↓
(3.65) |
6.6%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 23.8% – 76.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Bastia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Bastia: Guevara J.
(Injury)
Inao Oulai C.
(Yellow Cards)
Maggiotti J.
(Injury)
Mazikou S.
(Injury)
Tomi F.
(Injury)
Tramoni L.
(Inactive)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Dunkerque?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Bastia?
Dunkerque has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Dunkerque were as follows:
24.09.2024
Dunkerque
-
Bastia
2:1
06.04.2024
Bastia
-
Dunkerque
1:1
05.12.2023
Dunkerque
-
Bastia
0:5
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Etienne | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Nancy | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Red Star | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Reims | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Troyes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Clermont | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Amiens | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Dunkerque | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Montpellier | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Rodez | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | Laval | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Annecy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Guingamp | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Bastia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
