Bastia vs Dunkerque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Bastia - Dunkerque
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Bastia
47.4%
Draw
27.6%
Dunkerque
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 26.4% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25.2% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Bastia - Dunkerque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.84)
    3.42
    (3.5)
    3.77
    (3.95)
    6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Dunkerque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Bastia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bastia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Dunkerque were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Bastia - Dunkerque 2:0
    24.09.2024 Dunkerque - Bastia 2:1
    06.04.2024 Bastia - Dunkerque 1:1
    05.12.2023 Dunkerque - Bastia 0:5
    Latest results of Bastia
    26.09.2025 Grenoble - Bastia 0:0
    23.09.2025 Bastia - Rodez 2:3
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Bastia 2:0
    16.09.2025 Boulogne - Bastia 1:0
    12.09.2025 Amiens - Bastia 0:0
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    27.09.2025 Dunkerque - Amiens 6:2
    23.09.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 2:1
    19.09.2025 Dunkerque - Le Mans 2:2
    13.09.2025 Grenoble - Dunkerque 1:0
    29.08.2025 Dunkerque - Troyes 2:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes861117:71019
    2St Etienne852117:10717
    3Pau FC852113:7617
    4Reims842212:9314
    5Red Star741212:7513
    6Guingamp841314:17-313
    7Montpellier83238:8011
    8Nancy83238:9-111
    9Rodez83237:10-311
    10Clermont82428:10-210
    11Dunkerque823316:1429
    12Amiens823311:12-19
    13Le Mans82339:10-19
    14Annecy82249:12-38
    15Laval81437:11-47
    16Grenoble81346:10-46
    17Boulogne72055:9-46
    18Bastia80354:11-73

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National