Result
2:0
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 28
- Referee: Thual O. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.04 | 0.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
35% | 65% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
69% (188/272) | 83% (412/496) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.04 | 0.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.61 | 0.09 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 14 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
69% (188/272) | 83% (412/496) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (32/71) | 38% (18/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (56/96) | 60% (60/100) |
Crosses |
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8% (1/13) | 27% (6/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.54 | 0.55 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (9/11) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 41 |
Clearances Total |
---|
30 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.09 | 0.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.09 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Vincent C. ⚽,
- 8', Janneh J. 🟨,
- 22', Raghouber U. 🟨,
- 32', Bammou Y. 🟨,
- 43', Akueson G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Rivera M. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 56', Ariss Z. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
- 66', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 67', Cisse L. ↓, Tramoni L. ↑,
- 67', Courtet G. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 0, Ble M. ⚽, Ducrocq T. (A),
- 77', Abner F. 🟨,
- 78', Bardeli E. ↓, Al Saad M. ↑,
- 78', Skytta N. ↓, Sekongo A. ↑,
- 84', Boutrah A. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
- 84', Janneh J. ↓, Roncaglia A. ↑,
- 90', Maggiotti J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bastia 43.5% | Draw 30.3% | Dunkerque 26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Bastia - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↑ (2.1) |
3.08 ↓ (3.11) |
3.6 ↓ (3.65) |
6.6% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 23.8% – 76.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Bastia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Bastia: Guevara J.
(Injury)
Inao Oulai C.
(Yellow Cards)
Maggiotti J.
(Injury)
Mazikou S.
(Injury)
Tomi F.
(Injury)
Tramoni L.
(Inactive)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Dunkerque?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Bastia?
Dunkerque has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Dunkerque were as follows:
24.09.2024
Dunkerque
-
Bastia
2:1
06.04.2024
Bastia
-
Dunkerque
1:1
05.12.2023
Dunkerque
-
Bastia
0:5
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National