Result
0:0
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 9
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/448) | 73% (235/321) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/448) | 73% (235/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (17/50) | 28% (18/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (75/114) | 48% (31/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/23) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Sekongo A. 🟨,
- 42', Robinet T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Guidi D. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
- 55', Ariss Z. 🟨,
- 65', Tomi F. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
- 65', Ble M. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 68', Robinet T. 🟨,
- 72', Zossou A. ↓, Abner F. ↑,
- 72', Sekongo A. ↓, Eguaras I. ↑,
- 72', Essimi M. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
- 77', Janneh J. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
- 83', Bardeli E. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bastia
38.1% | Draw
31.3% | Dunkerque
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bastia's form might have worsened.Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunkerque's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+14.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunkerque, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bastia - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(1.84) |
3.01 ↓
(3.5) |
3.13 ↓
(3.95) |
5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bastia - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 12% – 65%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Dunkerque (votes: 4 - 80%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3.
- Recent form of Bastia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Dunkerque's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Bastia has had a series of away games.
- Bastia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Injury)
Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Etoga L.
(Injury)
Olmeta L.
(International duty)
Parravicini N.
(Injury)
Sebas J.
(Red Card)
Vincent C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Lavin M.
(Injury)
Linguet A.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Yassine G.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Dunkerque: Yassine G.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Dunkerque?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Bastia?
Dunkerque has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Dunkerque were as follows:
28.03.2025
Bastia
-
Dunkerque
2:0
24.09.2024
Dunkerque
-
Bastia
2:1
06.04.2024
Bastia
-
Dunkerque
1:1
05.12.2023
Dunkerque
-
Bastia
0:5
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Red Star | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Annecy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Clermont | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
