Laval vs Dunkerque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 17
  • Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.421.36
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
410
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
76% (247/323)91% (554/606)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.421.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.811.42
Total shots
410
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
02
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
110
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
623
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
76% (247/323)91% (554/606)
Long passes
49% (28/57)64% (34/53)
Passes in final third
59% (57/97)79% (101/128)
Crosses
8% (1/13)39% (11/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.281.40
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
1316
Tackles
56% (5/9)57% (4/7)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
1526
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.420.81
Goals prevented
-0.58-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Samb L. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Clavreul E. , Vargas T. (A),
  • 33', Tavares Y. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Robinet T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 44', Tavares Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Maggiotti J. , Benard W. ,
  • 50', Kondo G. 🟨,
  • 53', Mayela V. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Robinet T. , Yassine G. (A),
  • 71', Diong P. , Linguet A. ,
  • 71', Sekongo A. , Diop M. ,
  • 72', Vargas T. , Maddy E. ,
  • 72', Camara M. , Tchokounte M. ,
  • 81', Zossou A. , Essimi M. ,
  • 85', Clavreul E. , Faurand-Tournaire A. ,
  • 85', Mandouki C. , Sellouki M. ,
  • 86', Yassine G. , Daho A. ,
  • 86', Bardeli E. , Sylvestre E. ,
  • 87', Benard W. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Daho A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Diop M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Laval
27.6%
Draw
31.5%
Dunkerque
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 29.1% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 28.6% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laval's form might have worsened.
  • Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laval, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Laval - Dunkerque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (2.74)
    2.96
    (3.16)
    2.3
    (2.47)
    6.8%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Laval - Dunkerque?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 39.2%89.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Dunkerque (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 3.
    • In recent matches, Laval has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dunkerque is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Laval has had a series of away games.
    • Dunkerque could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M. (Inactive) Commaret M. (Muscle Injury) Maddy E. (Inactive) Thomas T. (Hand Injury)
    • There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Inactive) Eguaras I. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive) Sangante O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Laval won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Dunkerque were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Dunkerque - Laval 0:0
    18.10.2024 Laval - Dunkerque 3:2
    16.03.2024 Laval - Dunkerque 1:2
    25.11.2023 Dunkerque - Laval 0:2
    Latest results of Laval
    08.12.2025 Reims - Laval 4:0
    25.11.2025 Bastia - Laval 0:2
    21.11.2025 Laval - Troyes 0:1
    15.11.2025 Le Cellier Mauves - Laval 0:6
    07.11.2025 Nancy - Laval 0:2
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    06.12.2025 Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    21.11.2025 Rodez - Dunkerque 1:1
    07.11.2025 Dunkerque - Boulogne 1:1
    01.11.2025 Reims - Dunkerque 1:2
    28.10.2025 Dunkerque - Red Star 3:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes24136538:251345
    2St Etienne24134741:291243
    3Reims24118537:231441
    4Le Mans241010430:24640
    5Red Star24117630:25540
    6Dunkerque24108640:251538
    7Annecy24106832:25736
    8Rodez2499631:31036
    9Montpellier241041028:25334
    10Guingamp2497835:36-134
    11Pau FC2497837:39-234
    12Grenoble24610824:29-528
    13Nancy24751221:32-1126
    14Boulogne24751225:36-1126
    15Clermont24671127:32-525
    16Amiens24651328:39-1123
    17Bastia24391212:25-1318
    18Laval24391218:34-1618

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National