Laval vs Dunkerque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 17
  • Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.421.36
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
410
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
76% (247/323)91% (554/606)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.421.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.811.42
Total shots
410
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
02
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
110
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
623
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
76% (247/323)91% (554/606)
Long passes
49% (28/57)64% (34/53)
Passes in final third
59% (57/97)79% (101/128)
Crosses
8% (1/13)39% (11/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.281.40
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
1316
Tackles
56% (5/9)57% (4/7)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
1526
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.420.81
Goals prevented
-0.58-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Samb L. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Clavreul E. , Vargas T. (A),
  • 33', Tavares Y. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Robinet T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 44', Tavares Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Maggiotti J. , Benard W. ,
  • 50', Kondo G. 🟨,
  • 53', Mayela V. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Robinet T. , Yassine G. (A),
  • 71', Diong P. , Linguet A. ,
  • 71', Sekongo A. , Diop M. ,
  • 72', Vargas T. , Maddy E. ,
  • 72', Camara M. , Tchokounte M. ,
  • 81', Zossou A. , Essimi M. ,
  • 85', Clavreul E. , Faurand-Tournaire A. ,
  • 85', Mandouki C. , Sellouki M. ,
  • 86', Yassine G. , Daho A. ,
  • 86', Bardeli E. , Sylvestre E. ,
  • 87', Benard W. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Daho A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Diop M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Laval
27.6%
Draw
31.5%
Dunkerque
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 29.1% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 28.6% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laval's form might have worsened.
  • Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laval, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Laval - Dunkerque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (2.74)
    2.96
    (3.16)
    2.3
    (2.47)
    6.8%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Laval - Dunkerque?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 39.2%89.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Dunkerque (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 3.
    • In recent matches, Laval has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dunkerque is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Laval has had a series of away games.
    • Dunkerque could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M. (Inactive) Commaret M. (Muscle Injury) Maddy E. (Inactive) Thomas T. (Hand Injury)
    • There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Inactive) Eguaras I. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive) Sangante O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Laval won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Dunkerque were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Dunkerque - Laval 0:0
    18.10.2024 Laval - Dunkerque 3:2
    16.03.2024 Laval - Dunkerque 1:2
    25.11.2023 Dunkerque - Laval 0:2
    Latest results of Laval
    08.12.2025 Reims - Laval 4:0
    25.11.2025 Bastia - Laval 0:2
    21.11.2025 Laval - Troyes 0:1
    15.11.2025 Le Cellier Mauves - Laval 0:6
    07.11.2025 Nancy - Laval 0:2
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    06.12.2025 Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    21.11.2025 Rodez - Dunkerque 1:1
    07.11.2025 Dunkerque - Boulogne 1:1
    01.11.2025 Reims - Dunkerque 1:2
    28.10.2025 Dunkerque - Red Star 3:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes27166544:271754
    2St Etienne27155746:291750
    3Le Mans271211437:261147
    4Red Star27128731:27444
    5Reims271110639:261343
    6Rodez271110634:32243
    7Montpellier271251033:25841
    8Dunkerque27109842:291339
    9Annecy271161035:30539
    10Guingamp27109838:38039
    11Pau FC27108940:44-438
    12Boulogne27961230:38-833
    13Grenoble27612924:30-630
    14Clermont27771330:36-628
    15Nancy27761424:40-1627
    16Amiens27651630:46-1623
    17Laval273111321:39-1820
    18Bastia273101414:30-1619

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National