Result
1:2
12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 17
- Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (247/323) | 91% (554/606) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (247/323) | 91% (554/606) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 64% (34/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (57/97) | 79% (101/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 39% (11/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Samb L. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Clavreul E. ⚽, Vargas T. (A),
- 33', Tavares Y. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Robinet T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', Tavares Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Maggiotti J. ↓, Benard W. ↑,
- 50', Kondo G. 🟨,
- 53', Mayela V. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 2, Robinet T. ⚽, Yassine G. (A),
- 71', Diong P. ↓, Linguet A. ↑,
- 71', Sekongo A. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
- 72', Vargas T. ↓, Maddy E. ↑,
- 72', Camara M. ↓, Tchokounte M. ↑,
- 81', Zossou A. ↓, Essimi M. ↑,
- 85', Clavreul E. ↓, Faurand-Tournaire A. ↑,
- 85', Mandouki C. ↓, Sellouki M. ↑,
- 86', Yassine G. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
- 86', Bardeli E. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
- 87', Benard W. 🟨,
- 90+2', Daho A. 🟨,
- 90+7', Diop M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Laval
27.6% | Draw
31.5% | Dunkerque
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laval's form might have worsened.Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laval, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Laval - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↑
(2.74) |
2.96 ↓
(3.16) |
2.3 ↓
(2.47) |
6.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Laval - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 39.2% – 89.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Dunkerque (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 3.
- In recent matches, Laval has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dunkerque is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Laval has had a series of away games.
- Dunkerque could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M.
(Inactive)
Commaret M.
(Muscle Injury)
Maddy E.
(Inactive)
Thomas T.
(Hand Injury)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Inactive)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sangante O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Laval won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Dunkerque?
Laval has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Laval?
Dunkerque has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Dunkerque were as follows:
02.05.2025
Dunkerque
-
Laval
0:0
18.10.2024
Laval
-
Dunkerque
3:2
16.03.2024
Laval
-
Dunkerque
1:2
25.11.2023
Dunkerque
-
Laval
0:2
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
