Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 40', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Durango
48% | Draw
28.7% | Aurrerá de Vitoria
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Aurrerá de Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Durango - Aurrerá de Vitoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.11) |
3.21 ↑
(3.13) |
3.94 ↑
(3.28) |
8.7%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).
- Durango has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aurrerá de Vitoria is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Durango could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Durango won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Durango won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Durango won against Aurrerá de Vitoria?
Durango has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurrerá de Vitoria won against Durango?
Aurrerá de Vitoria has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Durango - Aurrerá de Vitoria were as follows:
19.10.2025
Aurrerá de Vitoria
-
Durango
0:0
11.03.2023
Aurrerá de Vitoria
-
Durango
1:1
05.11.2022
Durango
-
Aurrerá de Vitoria
2:1
Latest results of Durango
Latest results of Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Leioa | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 47:26 | 21 | 52 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 32:22 | 10 | 48 |
| 6 | Derio | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 47 |
| 7 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 47 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad C | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:49 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Durango | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 36 |
| 12 | Pasaia | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | Santurtzi | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 | Anorga | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 29:51 | -22 | 30 |
| 15 | Zamudio | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 29 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 25:51 | -26 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20:38 | -18 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
