Result
2:2
05/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WSL 2 - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | WSL 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (209/311) | 59% (171/291) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (209/311) | 59% (171/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (30/84) | 32% (19/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (62/109) | 44% (54/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 37% (10/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 80% (20/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Blake H. ⚽, Watson L. (A),
- 23', Robinson K. 🟨,
- 31', Watson L. ↓, Speckmaier M. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 1, Lawley G. ⚽, Syme E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 2, Ward M. ⚽, Syme E. (A),
- 65', Robinson K. ↓, Gale J. ↑,
- 65', Farrugia M. ↓, Morgan E. ↑,
- 76', Blake H. ↓, Collinson G. ↑,
- 81', Stobbs A. ↓, Robson S. ↑,
- 87', Ward M. ↓, Bennett H. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Hepple B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', Ingle S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Durham
21.1% | Draw
23.6% | Bristol City
55.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durham than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Durham - Bristol City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.32 ↓
(5) |
3.86 ↑
(3.85) |
1.65 ↑
(1.55) |
9.8%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durham won 1.
- Durham has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bristol City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Bristol City is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Durham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Durham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Durham won against Bristol City?
Durham has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Durham?
Bristol City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Durham - Bristol City were as follows:
05.10.2025
Bristol City
-
Durham
2:1
04.05.2025
Durham
-
Bristol City
2:0
15.12.2024
Bristol City
-
Durham
5:0
04.12.2022
Durham
-
Bristol City
1:1
Latest results of Bristol City
