Bristol City vs Durham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Women Championship Bristol City - Durham
Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WSL 2 - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
92
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
84
Yellow Cards
04
Total shots
92
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
20
Corner Kicks
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Ingle S. , Lawley G. (A),
  • 33', Wilson S. 🟨,
  • 39', Lambert M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', McFarland L. , Blake H. ,
  • 46', Wilson S. , Salicki B. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Losada V. , Syme E. (A),
  • 59', 2 - 1, Lambert M. , Blake H. (A),
  • 63', Salicki B. 🟨,
  • 66', Losada V. , Lloyd-Smith L. ,
  • 66', Dafeur M. , Meena M. ,
  • 68', Ayre G. 🟨,
  • 72', Stobbs A. , Jones A. ,
  • 78', Ward M. , Morgan E. ,
  • 78', Syme E. , Jones V. ,
  • 87', Toland T. , Watson L. ,
  • 87', Farrugia M. , Hebard I. ,
  • 90', Briggs L. , Robson S. ,

Chances of winning


Bristol City
55.8%
Draw
24.2%
Durham
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 26.8% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 25.1% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol City's performance.
  • Durham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Durham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durham than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Durham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bristol City - Durham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.89)
    3.79
    (3.38)
    4.61
    (3.59)
    8.8%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 8).
    • In recent matches, Bristol City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Durham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Durham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bristol City is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Durham were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Durham - Bristol City 2:0
    15.12.2024 Bristol City - Durham 5:0
    04.12.2022 Durham - Bristol City 1:1
    Latest results of Bristol City
    Latest results of Durham
    28.09.2025 Durham - Crystal Palace 1:1
    24.09.2025 Durham - Sheffield United 1:2
    19.09.2025 Sunderland - Durham 2:1
    14.09.2025 Durham - Charlton Athletic 1:2
    07.09.2025 Portsmouth - Durham 0:2