Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden).

2. Bundesliga - Round 20
Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.97	1.54
Ball possession
47%	53%
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
5	6
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
3	5
Passes
78% (326/417)	80% (375/467)
Yellow cards
2	3
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.97	1.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.56	0.92
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
2	7
Shots inside the box
8	8
Shots outside the box
4	9
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
14	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	4
Free kicks
12	13
Passes
78% (326/417)	80% (375/467)
Long passes
35% (21/60)	42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
56% (43/77)	67% (70/105)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.38	0.63
Throw ins
13	19
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
48% (10/21)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
61	41
Clearances
43	23
Interceptions
10	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	4
xGOT faced
0.92	1.56
Goals prevented
-0.08	0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Wagner R. 🟨,
31', Telalovic S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Daferner C. ⚽, Sterner J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sicker A. ↓, Handwerker T. ↑,
63', Herrmann L. ↓, Bobzien B. ↑,
65', Grodowski J. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
65', Telalovic S. ↓, Momuluh T. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Handwerker T. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Ceka J. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
75', Lemmer J. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
83', Daferner C. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
85', Russo S. 🟨,
86', Rochelt J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
90', Corboz M. 🟨,
90+1', Wagner R. 🟨,
90+1', Russo S. ↓, Grosser M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Dynamo Dresden
36.1%

Draw
28.3%

Arminia Bielefeld
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.57)	3.32 (3.32)	2.65 ↓ (2.72)	6.3% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 44.1% – 85.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury) Kother D. (Inactive)
There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Faber K. (Inactive) Froling N. (Illness) Oehmichen J. (Illness) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Arminia: Felix J. (Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Arminia Bielefeld?

Dynamo Dresden has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Dynamo Dresden?

Arminia Bielefeld has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:

24.08.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden 1:2

03.05.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden 1:1

08.12.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld 3:0

20.12.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden 0:1

05.08.2023 Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld 3:1

Latest results of Dynamo Dresden

24.01.2026 Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden 1:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth 2:0 ✺

06.01.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Aarau 3:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden 2:1 ✺

12.12.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld

23.01.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel 2:2 ✺

16.01.2026 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld 1:0 ✺

09.01.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Hansa Rostock 1:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Kaiserslautern 0:0 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	26	15	6	5	37:23	14	51
2	Darmstadt	26	13	10	3	48:29	19	49
3	Elversberg	26	14	6	6	44:28	16	48
4	Paderborn	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
5	Hannover	26	13	7	6	45:34	11	46
6	Hertha Berlin	26	11	8	7	37:31	6	41
7	Kaiserslautern	26	12	4	10	45:38	7	40
8	Karlsruher SC	26	9	7	10	40:50	-10	34
9	Bochum	26	8	9	9	36:33	3	33
10	Nurnberg	26	9	6	11	34:37	-3	33
11	Dusseldorf	26	9	4	13	24:35	-11	31
12	SG Dynamo Dresden	26	7	8	11	44:44	0	29
13	Braunschweig	26	8	5	13	29:43	-14	29
14	Greuther Furth	26	8	5	13	39:56	-17	29
15	Arminia Bielefeld	26	7	7	12	38:36	2	28
16	Preussen Munster	26	6	8	12	30:44	-14	26
17	Holstein Kiel	26	6	7	13	31:40	-9	25
18	Magdeburg	26	7	3	16	36:49	-13	24

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga