Magdeburg vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaRTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyRTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.791.39
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
53
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
105
Passes
83% (430/520)72% (211/293)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.791.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.681.99
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
115
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
1211
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
21
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
2528
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
99
Passes
83% (430/520)72% (211/293)
Long passes
55% (44/80)42% (27/65)
Passes in final third
72% (109/151)64% (63/99)
Crosses
27% (9/33)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.99
Throw ins
3017
Fouls
99
Tackles
38% (3/8)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3443
Clearances
2034
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
1.991.68
Goals prevented
-0.010.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Zukowski M. , Atik B. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Amoako K. ,
  • 45+2', Muller T. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Keller T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Muller T. , Hugonet J. ,
  • 46', Gnaka S. , Stalmach D. ,
  • 67', Pesch N. , Ghrieb R. ,
  • 75', Lemmer J. , Herrmann L. ,
  • 85', Amoako K. , Menzel T. ,
  • 85', Vermeij V. , Daferner C. ,
  • 87', Stalmach D. 🟨,
  • 88', Michel F. , Breunig M. ,
  • 90+3', Ceka J. , Sapina V. ,
  • 90+3', Hauptmann N. , Kutschke S. ,
  • 90+5', Ulrich L. , Millgramm A. ,

Chances of winning


Magdeburg
55.5%
Draw
23.9%
Dynamo Dresden
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 24.7% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 23.4% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magdeburg's performance.
  • Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.86)
    3.95
    (3.76)
    4.57
    (3.65)
    5.7%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Dynamo Dresden (2.05) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Magdeburg will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Magdeburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Dynamo Dresden (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 1.
    • Magdeburg is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Dynamo Dresden has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Magdeburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Magdeburg is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Dzogovic E. (Injury) Holmstrom A. (Muscle Injury) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Krempicki C. (Inactive) Loric S. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Froling N. (Illness) Grill L. (Knee Injury) Marx J. (Ankle Injury) Oehmichen J. (Illness) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • We predict that Magdeburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg 1:2
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke26156537:231451
    2Darmstadt261310348:291949
    3Elversberg26146644:281648
    4Paderborn26146643:301348
    5Hannover26137645:341146
    6Hertha Berlin26118737:31641
    7Kaiserslautern261241045:38740
    8Karlsruher SC26971040:50-1034
    9Bochum2689936:33333
    10Nurnberg26961134:37-333
    11Dusseldorf26941324:35-1131
    12SG Dynamo Dresden26781144:44029
    13Braunschweig26851329:43-1429
    14Greuther Furth26851339:56-1729
    15Arminia Bielefeld26771238:36228
    16Preussen Munster26681230:44-1426
    17Holstein Kiel26671331:40-925
    18Magdeburg26731636:49-1324

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          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
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