Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 19
- Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (430/520) | 72% (211/293) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (430/520) | 72% (211/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (44/80) | 42% (27/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (109/151) | 64% (63/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 29', 1 - 0, Zukowski M. ⚽, Atik B. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Amoako K. ⚽,
- 45+2', Muller T. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Keller T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Muller T. ↓, Hugonet J. ↑,
- 46', Gnaka S. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
- 67', Pesch N. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
- 75', Lemmer J. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
- 85', Amoako K. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
- 85', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
- 87', Stalmach D. 🟨,
- 88', Michel F. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
- 90+3', Ceka J. ↓, Sapina V. ↑,
- 90+3', Hauptmann N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
- 90+5', Ulrich L. ↓, Millgramm A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Magdeburg
55.5% | Draw
23.9% | Dynamo Dresden
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magdeburg's performance.Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.86) |
3.95 ↑
(3.76) |
4.57 ↑
(3.65) |
5.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Dynamo Dresden (2.05) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Magdeburg will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Magdeburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Dynamo Dresden (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 1.
- Magdeburg is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dynamo Dresden has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Magdeburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Magdeburg is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Magdeburg: Dzogovic E.
(Injury)
Holmstrom A.
(Muscle Injury)
Hyrylainen L.
(Shin Injury)
Krempicki C.
(Inactive)
Loric S.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Froling N.
(Illness)
Grill L.
(Knee Injury)
Marx J.
(Ankle Injury)
Oehmichen J.
(Illness)
Zickler J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- We predict that Magdeburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Magdeburg won against Dynamo Dresden?
Magdeburg has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Magdeburg?
Dynamo Dresden has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden were as follows:
09.08.2025
Dynamo Dresden
-
Magdeburg
1:2
Latest results of Magdeburg
Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Darmstadt | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 44:25 | 19 | 45 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 | Hannover | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 27 |
| 12 | Dusseldorf | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Holstein Kiel | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Preussen Munster | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 23 |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 32:40 | -8 | 22 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 34:54 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
