Dynamo Dresden vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal
Football German DFB Pokal Dynamo Dresden - Mainz
Result
0:1
18/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1
europeEuropeGo3 Sport Open Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DFB Play, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, tv.dfb.de, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySport 1
israelIsraelSport 4
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.06
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
70% (275/395)72% (268/370)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.312.67
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
70% (275/395)72% (268/370)
Long passes
37% (34/91)39% (29/74)
Passes in final third
62% (72/116)56% (72/128)
Crosses
21% (3/14)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.44
Throw-ins
2726
Fouls
1316
Tackles
74% (20/27)70% (14/20)
Duels won
7252
Clearances
1319
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
2.671.31
Goals prevented
1.671.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Boeder L. 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Amiri N. ⚽,
  • 32', Kohr D. 🟨,
  • 32', Froling N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bell S. ↓, Leitsch M. ↑,
  • 64', Hollerbach B. ↓, Bobzien B. ↑,
  • 64', Kohr D. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
  • 64', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
  • 66', Lemmer J. (Pen),
  • 75', Nebel P. ↓, Lee Jae-Sung ↑,
  • 77', Froling N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
  • 78', Kother D. ↓, Oehmichen J. ↑,
  • 79', Amiri N. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
  • 84', Sapina V. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
  • 87', 🟥,
  • 90+3', Bobzien B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dynamo Dresden
19.9%		Draw
23.1%		Mainz
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 27% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Dresden's form might have worsened.
  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mainz's recent form is better than expected.
    •

    Dynamo Dresden - Mainz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.7 ↑
    (3.15)    		 4.08 ↑
    (3.48)    		 1.68 ↓
    (2.18)    		 5.2%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Mainz?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Mainz will win (votes: 21 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 53.6% – 86.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Mainz is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    09.08.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg 1:2 ✺
    03.08.2025 Greuther Fürth - Dynamo Dresden 3:2 ✺
    13.07.2025 Slavia Prague - Dynamo Dresden 4:2
    17.05.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Unterhaching 3:0 ✺
    10.05.2025 Waldhof Mannheim - Dynamo Dresden 1:0
    Latest results of Mainz
    09.08.2025 Mainz - Strasbourg 0:0
    25.07.2025 Mainz - Seekirchen 5:0
    16.07.2025 Saarbrücken - Mainz 1:4 ✺
    11.07.2025 Bayern Alzenau - Mainz 0:4
    17.05.2025 Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    2SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    3CottbusHannover1 : 0
    4SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    5FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    6Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    7BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    8PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    9DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    10MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    11Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    12UlmElversberg0 : 1
    13LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    14RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    15EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    16RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    17LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    18Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    19HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    20BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    21SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    22LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    23Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    24GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    25SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    26BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    27HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    28FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    29RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    30WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    31NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    32Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1IllertissenMagdeburg
    2CottbusRB Leipzig
    3Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld
    4HeidenheimHamburger SV
    5B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC
    6Hertha BerlinElversberg
    7Greuther FurthKaiserslautern
    8Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund
    9DarmstadtSchalke
    10AugsburgBochum
    11DusseldorfFreiburg
    12PaderbornBayer Leverkusen
    13MainzStuttgart
    14WolfsburgHolstein Kiel
    15FC KolnBayern Munich
    16St. PauliHoffenheim
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