Result
4:0
16/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, Play Sports 5, Sporza, Sporza, VRT Canvas |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Germany | RTL, RTL+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 1 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 8 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 0.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (398/463) | 76% (230/302) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.09 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (398/463) | 76% (230/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 33% (15/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (51/93) | 61% (63/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 4.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', Kohr D. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Nanasi S. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 0, Ouattara A. ⚽, Enciso J. (A),
- 36', Barco V. 🟨,
- 45', Nanasi S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Weiper N. ↓, Amiri N. ↑,
- 49', El Mourabet S. 🟨,
- 58', Nanasi S. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
- 66', Emegha E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 69', 3 - 0, Enciso J. ⚽, Godo M. (A),
- 72', Widmer S. ↓, Caci A. ↑,
- 72', Kawasaki S. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 0, Emegha E. ⚽, Enciso J. (A),
- 78', Chilwell B. ↓, Hogsberg L. ↑,
- 79', Ouattara A. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
- 82', Mwene P. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
- 82', Kohr D. ↓, Boving W. ↑,
- 88', Enciso J. ↓, Oyedele M. ↑,
- 90+3', Sieb A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Veratschnig N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Moreira D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
49.8% | Draw
25.2% | Mainz
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Strasbourg - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(1.98) |
3.76 ↑
(3.53) |
3.8 ↑
(3.77) |
5.2%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 20 - 55.6%). Mainz will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 39.4% – 71.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- TQ, OT - Strasbourg (4.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Mainz (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strasbourg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 4 - 80%). Mainz (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-2. Second leg.
- Strasbourg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mainz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Strasbourg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mainz has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Strasbourg is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A.
(Inactive)
Mwanga J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Panichelli J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mainz: Becker S.
(Inactive)
Bos K.
(Inactive)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Hollerbach B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lee Jae-Sung
(Toe Injury)
Leitsch M.
(Thigh Injury)
Silas
(Broken shinbone)
Tauer N.
(Inactive)
Zentner R.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Bell S.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Hanche-Olsen A.
(Muscle Injury)
Mwene P.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Mainz?
Strasbourg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Strasbourg?
Mainz has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Mainz were as follows:
09.04.2026
Mainz
-
Strasbourg
2:0
09.08.2025
Mainz
-
Strasbourg
0:0
Latest results of Strasbourg
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 2 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | 1 : 3, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Crystal Palace (10) | |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Final
