Schalke 04 vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
07/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Sport TV2, Voyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.620.69
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
52
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
71
Passes
70% (236/337)75% (341/454)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.620.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.48
Total shots
169
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
75
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
915
Passes
70% (236/337)75% (341/454)
Long passes
39% (21/54)41% (30/74)
Passes in final third
60% (64/106)56% (81/144)
Crosses
17% (5/30)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.640.67
Throw ins
2338
Fouls
159
Tackles
81% (17/21)55% (6/11)
Duels won
6061
Clearances
3236
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.480.97
Goals prevented
-0.52-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Hauptmann N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Gomis C. , Aouchiche A. ,
  • 52', 1 - 0, Dzeko E. , Aouchiche A. (A),
  • 57', Daferner C. , Vermeij V. ,
  • 66', Lemmer J. , Froling N. ,
  • 66', Hauptmann N. , Bobzien B. ,
  • 67', Schallenberg R. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Dzeko E. , El-Faouzi S. (A),
  • 71', Dzeko E. , Sylla M. ,
  • 75', Ceka J. , Kutschke S. ,
  • 75', Sterner J. , Faber K. ,
  • 76', N'Diaye M. , Kurucay H. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Kurucay H. (Own goal),
  • 81', Schallenberg R. , Sanchez F. ,
  • 85', Ayhan M. 🟨,
  • 86', Herrmann L. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Keller T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Schalke 04
51.9%
Draw
26.1%
Dynamo Dresden
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 26% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 26.2% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.79)
    3.6
    (3.56)
    4.34
    (4.15)
    6%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Schalke (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Dynamo Dresden (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Dynamo Dresden (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (47 of 52 users predict this - 90.38%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.37%98.39%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Schalke 04 will win (49 of 49 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 52 high ROI users predict this event. Schalke (votes: 50 - 96.2%). Dynamo Dresden (votes: 2 - 3.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • Schalke has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Dynamo Dresden is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Schalke has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Schalke is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Gantenbein A. (Calf Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury) Wagner R. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Oehmichen J. (Illness) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Schalke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Schalke 04 0:1
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga