CSKA Moscow vs Dynamo Makhachkala – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

VEB Arena (Moscow).

Premier League - Round 22
Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 5

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.75	0.88
Ball possession
65%	35%
Total shots
16	3
Shots on target
4	1
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
10	6
Passes
81% (414/509)	64% (169/264)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.75	0.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.22	0.99
Total shots
16	3
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
4	0
Blocked shots
8	2
Shots inside the box
15	3
Shots outside the box
1	0
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
2	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
10	6
Touches in opposition box
48	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
15	9
Passes
81% (414/509)	64% (169/264)
Long passes
46% (21/46)	35% (25/71)
Passes in final third
72% (96/133)	55% (46/83)
Crosses
36% (8/22)	22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
2.57	0.43
Throw ins
24	34
Fouls
9	15
Tackles
67% (8/12)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
53	42
Clearances
26	35
Interceptions
16	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.99	1.22
Goals prevented
-0.01	-1.78

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Henrique Carmo ⚽, Oblyakov I. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Kislyak M. ⚽, Henrique Carmo (A),
25', 2 - 1, Agalarov G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Gondou L. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
63', Agalarov G. ↓, Miro ↑,
63', Barinov D. ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
70', Dapo J. ↓, Zinovich K. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Musaev T. ⚽, Krugovoy D. (A),
80', Henrique Carmo ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
84', Alarcon A. 🟨,
90', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Ashurov A. ↑,
90+2', Kozlov D. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,

Chances of winning

CSKA Moscow
53.7%

Draw
27%

Dynamo Makhachkala
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

23.8%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

23.4%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA Moscow's form might have worsened.

Dynamo Makhachkala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Makhachkala's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Makhachkala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.46)	3.53 ↓ (3.9)	4.93 ↓ (7.4)	5.1% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).
CSKA has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dynamo Makhachkala's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
CSKA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, CSKA is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in CSKA: Glebov K. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Sandrachuk A. (Knee Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Dynamo Makhachkala?

CSKA Moscow has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against CSKA Moscow?

Dynamo Makhachkala has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala were as follows:

26.11.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 3:1

08.11.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow 0:1

05.11.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow 1:0

29.03.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0

19.10.2024 Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow 0:1

Latest results of CSKA Moscow

17.03.2026 Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow 4:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow 1:0 ✺

08.03.2026 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 1:4 ✺

04.03.2026 CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar 3:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala

18.03.2026 Zenit - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:0 ✺

13.03.2026 Dynamo Makhachkala - Orenburg 1:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0 ✺

04.03.2026 Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala 0:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Dynamo Makhachkala - Rubin Kazan 2:1 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	22	15	4	3	47:16	31	49
2	Zenit	22	14	6	2	41:15	26	48
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	22	12	8	2	48:30	18	44
4	Baltika	22	11	9	2	30:9	21	42
5	CSKA Moscow	22	12	3	7	34:24	10	39
6	Spartak Moscow	22	11	5	6	35:30	5	38
7	Rubin Kazan	22	8	6	8	22:25	-3	30
8	Akhmat Grozny	22	8	6	8	27:28	-1	30
9	Dynamo Moscow	22	8	6	8	37:30	7	30
10	Akron Togliatti	22	5	7	10	27:38	-11	22
11	FK Rostov	22	5	7	10	17:25	-8	22
12	Dynamo Makhachkala	22	5	6	11	12:27	-15	21
13	Krylya Sovetov	22	5	6	11	22:40	-18	21
14	Pari NN	22	6	2	14	18:36	-18	20
15	Orenburg	22	4	6	12	21:33	-12	18
16	Sochi	22	2	3	17	20:52	-32	9

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL