Result
1:0
13/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
- Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (167/252) | 70% (198/284) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (167/252) | 70% (198/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (19/64) | 33% (15/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (56/95) | 59% (53/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Dapo J. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Hosseinnejad M. ⚽,
- 36', Puebla D. 🟨,
- 43', Shumakhov I. ↓, Alarcon A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Agalarov G. ↓, Mastouri H. ↑,
- 63', Dapo J. ↓, Zinovich K. ↑,
- 70', Gurluk E. ↓, Rybchinskiy D. ↑,
- 70', Du Queiroz ↓, Kul R. ↑,
- 78', Vedernikov D. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
- 78', Puebla D. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
- 85', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Akhmedov I. ↑,
- 90', Savelyev M. ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
- 90+2', Moufi F. 🟨,
- 90+2', Azzi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Makhachkala
42.3% | Draw
30.8% | Orenburg
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Makhachkala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-1%)
Dynamo Makhachkala - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.22) |
3.1 ↑
(2.97) |
3.54 ↑
(3.35) |
4.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Dynamo Makhachkala - Orenburg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Makhachkala (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Dynamo Makhachkala will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- Dynamo Makhachkala is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orenburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Orenburg has had a series of home games.
- Dynamo Makhachkala could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Sandrachuk A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Makhachkala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Dynamo Makhachkala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Orenburg?
Dynamo Makhachkala has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Dynamo Makhachkala?
Orenburg has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Makhachkala - Orenburg were as follows:
27.07.2025
Orenburg
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
1:1
19.04.2025
Orenburg
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
2:1
09.11.2024
Dynamo Makhachkala
-
Orenburg
2:1
Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42:16 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Zenit | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 38:14 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 43:29 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Baltika | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 26:9 | 17 | 39 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 36 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:30 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Pari NN | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 18:31 | -13 | 20 |
| 14 | Krylya Sovetov | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 20:48 | -28 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
