Orenburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Gazovik Stadium (Orenburg).

: Premier League - Round 25

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	1.12
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
73% (257/354)	63% (167/266)
Yellow Cards
3	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	1.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.18	0.42
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
22	18
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
13	19
Passes
73% (257/354)	63% (167/266)
Long passes
42% (33/78)	33% (26/80)
Passes in final third
58% (78/135)	49% (53/109)
Crosses
22% (4/18)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	0.73
Fouls
19	13
Tackles
81% (13/16)	76% (19/25)
Duels won
61	64
Clearances Total
34	34
Interceptions
6	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.42	1.18
Goals prevented
-0.58	-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Mansilla B. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Sundukov T. ⚽, Azzi M. (A),
31', Tabidze J. 🟨,
32', Hosseinnejad M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
46', Karatas K. ↓, Malykh A. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Gurluk E. ⚽, Mansilla B. (A),
62', Malykh A. 🟨,
62', Tabidze J. ↓, Kagermazov S. ↑,
63', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Dzhabrailov A. ↑,
74', Glushkov N. 🟨,
74', Mikhailov Y. ↓, Muro T. ↑,
75', Mansilla B. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Revazov A. ⚽,
86', Sundukov T. 🟨,
86', Gurluk E. ↓, Khotulev D. ↑,
87', Glushkov N. ↓, Magomedov R. ↑,
88', Mrezigue H. ↓, Gadzhiev A. ↑,
90', Gadzhiev A. 🟨,
90+4', Marin J. 🟨,
90+8', Alibekov M. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Orenburg
45.2%

Draw
27.1%

Dynamo Makhachkala
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27.3%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.36)	3.6 ↑ (3.57)	3.53 ↑ (3.22)	2.6% (1.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Dynamo Makhachkala will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 10).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Orenburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G. (Injury)
There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Kagermazov S. (Yellow Cards) Sandrachuk A. (Knee Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Dynamo Makhachkala?

Orenburg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Orenburg?

Dynamo Makhachkala has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala were as follows:

09.11.2024 Dynamo Makhachkala - Orenburg 2:1

Latest results of Orenburg

12.04.2025 Orenburg - CSKA Moscow 0:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Pari NN - Orenburg 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg 5:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Orenburg - Fakel 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Orenburg - Rostov 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala

11.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Khimki 4:1 ✺

29.03.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylya Sovetov 4:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:2 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Baltika	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Torpedo Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FK Rostov	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zenit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Spartak Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CSKA Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Lokomotiv Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dynamo Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Rubin Kazan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Krylya Sovetov	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Akhmat Grozny	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Krasnodar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Pari NN	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Akron Togliatti	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Dynamo Makhachkala	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sochi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL

Which TV channels are streaming of Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3