Orenburg vs Krylya Sovetov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Orenburg
46.5%
Draw
27%
Krylya Sovetov
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 27.1% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.96)
    3.53
    (3.38)
    3.59
    (3.52)
    5%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 11)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Orenburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Krylya Sovetov has had a series of home games.
    • Orenburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov were as follows:
    04.03.2026 Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg 2:0
    18.10.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg 1:1
    27.04.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg 2:0
    20.10.2024 Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov 2:2
    04.05.2024 Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov 2:1
    Latest results of Orenburg
    03.05.2026 Sochi - Orenburg 3:1
    25.04.2026 Rostov - Orenburg 0:1
    22.04.2026 Orenburg - Pari NN 2:1
    11.04.2026 Rubin Kazan - Orenburg 0:0
    Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar28196356:213563
    2Zenit28188250:183262
    3Lokomotiv Moscow281311452:361650
    4Spartak Moscow28146845:38748
    5Baltika281113437:181946
    6CSKA Moscow28136939:31845
    7Rubin Kazan28119826:26042
    8Dynamo Moscow28109947:38939
    9Akhmat Grozny28981133:37-435
    10FK Rostov28791222:30-830
    11Krylya Sovetov28781331:48-1729
    12Akron Togliatti28691333:46-1327
    13Orenburg28681428:41-1326
    14Dynamo Makhachkala28591418:36-1824
    15Pari NN28641823:46-2322
    16Sochi28631927:57-3021

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL