Dynamo Makhachkala vs Pari NN – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Anzhi Arena (Kaspijsk).

Premier League - Round 18
Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.56
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
1	3
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
72% (283/395)	71% (217/306)
Yellow Cards
3	5
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.09	1.37
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
19	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
25	15
Passes
72% (283/395)	71% (217/306)
Long passes
39% (23/59)	29% (18/63)
Passes in final third
51% (65/128)	56% (44/78)
Crosses
16% (4/25)	0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.62	0.73
Throw-ins
33	13
Fouls
15	25
Tackles
80% (16/20)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
75	57
Clearances
15	54
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.37	0.09
Goals prevented
0.37	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Ermakov N. 🟨,
20', Tabidze J. 🟥,
36', Glushkov N. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Boselli J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ermakov N. ↓, Tsarukyan V. ↑,
46', Agalarov G. ↓, Mrezigue H. ↑,
46', Moubarik M. ↓, Kagermazov S. ↑,
70', Olusegun O. 🟨,
76', Tsarukyan V. ↓, Aleksandrov V. ↑,
82', Sundukov T. ↓, Miro ↑,
88', Koledin Y. 🟨,
88', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Zinovich K. ↑,
88', Boselli J. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
89', Grulev V. ↓, Maiga M. ↑,
90', Cephas R. 🟨,
90+1', Shnaptsev M. 🟨,
90+1', Mastouri H. 🟨,
90+2', Zinovich K. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Dynamo Makhachkala
50.5%

Draw
28.7%

Pari NN
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

31%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Makhachkala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Pari NN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Makhachkala that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pari NN than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Dynamo Makhachkala - Pari NN Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.94)	3.32 ↑ (3)	4.57 ↑ (4.4)	5.1% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Dynamo Makhachkala - Pari NN?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Makhachkala (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Dynamo Makhachkala will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
Dynamo Makhachkala is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Pari NN has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Dynamo Makhachkala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Dynamo Makhachkala is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Dapo J. (Injury) Sandrachuk A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A. (Knee Injury) Ivlev A. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Makhachkala won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Makhachkala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Pari NN?

Dynamo Makhachkala has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pari NN won against Dynamo Makhachkala?

Pari NN has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Makhachkala - Pari NN were as follows:

16.09.2025 Pari NN - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:2

18.08.2025 Pari NN - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0

30.07.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Pari NN 1:0

24.11.2024 Pari NN - Dynamo Makhachkala 0:0

04.08.2024 Dynamo Makhachkala - Pari NN 0:1

Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala

01.12.2025 Sochi - Dynamo Makhachkala 0:0 ✺

26.11.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 3:1 ✺

23.11.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 3:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow 0:1 ✺

05.11.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Pari NN

29.11.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Pari NN 1:2 ✺

23.11.2025 Pari NN - Zenit 0:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Pari NN - Rubin Kazan 0:0 ✺

31.10.2025 CSKA Moscow - Pari NN 2:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Pari NN - Baltika Kaliningrad 0:0 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	21	14	4	3	42:16	26	46
2	Zenit	21	13	6	2	38:14	24	45
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	21	11	8	2	43:29	14	41
4	Baltika	21	10	9	2	26:9	17	39
5	CSKA Moscow	21	11	3	7	31:23	8	36
6	Spartak Moscow	21	10	5	6	33:30	3	35
7	Dynamo Moscow	21	8	6	7	36:27	9	30
8	Rubin Kazan	21	8	5	8	22:25	-3	29
9	Akhmat Grozny	21	7	6	8	26:28	-2	27
10	Akron Togliatti	21	5	7	9	26:33	-7	22
11	FK Rostov	21	5	7	9	17:24	-7	22
12	Dynamo Makhachkala	21	5	6	10	11:24	-13	21
13	Pari NN	21	6	2	13	18:31	-13	20
14	Krylya Sovetov	21	5	5	11	22:40	-18	20
15	Orenburg	21	4	6	11	21:31	-10	18
16	Sochi	21	2	3	16	20:48	-28	9

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL