Result
2:2
13/09/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 10 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (178/270) | 78% (276/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (178/270) | 78% (276/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (19/62) | 55% (32/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (43/73) | 69% (56/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Garcia L. ⚽,
- 25', Litvinov R. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 1, Bitello ⚽,
- 29', Djiku A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Bitello ⚽, Miranchuk An. (A),
- 45+3', Martins C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Wooh C. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
- 46', Marquinhos ↓, Reabciuk O. ↑,
- 55', Zaynutdinov B. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 2, Garcia L. ⚽,
- 65', Martins C. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
- 74', Miranchuk An. ↓, Maouhoub E. ↑,
- 77', Garcia L. ↓, Ugalde M. ↑,
- 78', Umyarov N. 🟨,
- 79', Sergeev I. ↓, Tyukavin K. ↑,
- 79', Makarov D. ↓, Skopintsev D. ↑,
- 80', Barco E. ↓, Bongonda T. ↑,
- 88', Zaynutdinov B. ↓, Marichal N. ↑,
- 88', Rubens ↓, Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Moscow
32.9% | Draw
27.9% | Spartak Moscow
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.66) |
3.42 ↓
(3.5) |
2.44 ↑
(2.42) |
4.6%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Dynamo M will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Spartak M will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak M: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 1.
- Dynamo M is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Spartak M is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dynamo M may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Spartak M has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Chavez L.
(Knee Injury)
Majstorovic M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Tyukavin K.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Dynamo M: Gladyshev Y.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Spartak M: Martins C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against Spartak Moscow?
Dynamo Moscow has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Dynamo Moscow?
Spartak Moscow has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
11.05.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
Spartak Moscow
2:0
29.04.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:1
07.02.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
Spartak Moscow
0:1
02.10.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Spartak Moscow
2:3
22.09.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:2
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:7 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Baltika | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Zenit | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:24 | -19 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
