Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Referee: Meshkov V. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (395/471) | 84% (314/374) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (395/471) | 84% (314/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 58% (31/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (106/146) | 76% (73/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Pedro ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Gladyshev Y. ⚽, Chavez L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Fomin D. 🟨,
- 60', Glushenkov M. 🟨,
- 63', Glushenkov M. ↓, Mostovoy A. ↑,
- 63', Pedro ↓, Gondou L. ↑,
- 67', Fernandez R. 🟨,
- 76', Fomin D. ↓, Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↑,
- 76', Fernandez R. ↓, Kutitsky A. ↑,
- 77', Cassierra M. ↓, Sobolev A. ↑,
- 88', Santos D. ↓, Alip N. ↑,
- 88', Wendel ↓, Erokhin A. ↑,
- 90+2', Barrios W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Moscow
19.8% | Draw
24.6% | Zenit
55.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Moscow's form might have worsened.Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zenit's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zenit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dynamo Moscow - Zenit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.93 ↑
(3.3) |
3.97 ↑
(3.81) |
1.76 ↓
(2.22) |
2.5%
(1.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dynamo Moscow - Zenit?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Zenit (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Zenit will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Dynamo M won 3.
- Recent matches Dynamo M is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Zenit is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recently Zenit have a series of home games.
- In this match Zenit is a favorite.
- There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes
(Injury)
Tyukavin K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Zenit: Karavaev V.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Dynamo M won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 14:36 (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo M won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against Zenit?
Dynamo Moscow has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Dynamo Moscow?
Zenit has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Moscow - Zenit were as follows:
10.08.2024
Zenit
-
Dynamo Moscow
1:0
28.04.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Zenit
1:0
13.03.2024
Zenit
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:0
29.11.2023
Dynamo Moscow
-
Zenit
1:0
06.08.2023
Zenit
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:3
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
