Result
2:1
26/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 13
- Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 10 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (299/368) | 70% (181/259) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (299/368) | 70% (181/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (101/131) | 51% (34/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 3.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | 1.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Bitello ⚽, Glebov D. (A),
- 37', Caceres J. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Mostovoy A. ⚽, Glushenkov M. (A),
- 44', Sergeev I. 🟨,
- 44', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Osipenko M. ↓, Skopintsev D. ↑,
- 63', Gustavo Mantuan 🟨,
- 65', Tyukavin K. ↓, Kutitsky A. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Gustavo Mantuan ⚽,
- 77', Mostovoy A. ↓, Gondou L. ↑,
- 77', Gustavo Mantuan ↓, Vega R. ↑,
- 87', Rasulov K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Skopintsev D. ↓, Gladyshev Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Marichal N. ↓, Okishor V. ↑,
- 90+3', Luiz Henrique ↓, Erakovic S. ↑,
- 90+4', Gondou L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Glushenkov M. ↓, Erokhin A. ↑,
- 90+5', Okishor V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zenit
60.2% | Draw
22.6% | Dynamo Moscow
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)The chances for Dynamo Moscow have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Zenit - Dynamo Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.57) |
4.23 ↑
(3.9) |
5.56 ↑
(5.4) |
4.5%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zenit - Dynamo Moscow?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zenit: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 2.
- Zenit is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Dynamo M has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Zenit is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Zenit: Moskvichev B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Chavez L.
(Knee Injury)
Fomin D.
(Yellow Cards)
Majstorovic M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Makarov D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zenit: Cassierra M.
(Injury)
Erakovic S.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Zenit will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:15. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zenit won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:9. (average 2.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Dynamo Moscow?
Zenit has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against Zenit?
Dynamo Moscow has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zenit - Dynamo Moscow were as follows:
26.04.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
Zenit
1:1
10.08.2024
Zenit
-
Dynamo Moscow
1:0
28.04.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Zenit
1:0
13.03.2024
Zenit
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:0
29.11.2023
Dynamo Moscow
-
Zenit
1:0
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25:7 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 30:17 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Zenit | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Baltika | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
