Result
3:2
12/11/2024 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SCOTLAND: Challenge Cup - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Scotland | BBC Scotland |
 United-kingdom | BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Robertson J. ⚽, Leitch J. (A),
- 6', Fagan S. 🟨,
- 9', Dempsey B. 🟨,
- 12', 2 - 0, Balde J. ⚽, Robertson J. (A),
- 16', Oakley G. 🟨,
- 22', Spence L. 🟨,
- 41', McMann S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', McGregor J. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 1, Henderson J. ⚽,
- 62', Mimnaugh R. ↓, Lockie R. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 2, Rus M. ⚽, Henderson J. (A),
- 67', 3 - 2, Elliott C. ⚽, McShane I. (A),
- 71', Dempsey B. ↓, Howley R. ↑,
- 72', McShane I. ↓, Ferguson S. ↑,
- 78', McKenzie M. ↓, Hastie J. ↑,
- 82', Leitch J. 🟨,
- 89', Rus M. ↓, Hislop J. ↑,
Chances of winning
East Kilbride
29.2% | Draw
23.8% | Ayr United
47.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
East Kilbride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in East Kilbride's performance.Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayr United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with East Kilbride that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
East Kilbride - Ayr United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↓
(5.04) |
3.92 ↑
(3.9) |
1.96 ↑
(1.56) |
8.3%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for East Kilbride - Ayr United?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. East Kilbride will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Ayr will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ayr: 30.4% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- East Kilbride in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Ayr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- East Kilbride could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently East Kilbride have a series of home games.
- In this match Ayr is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches East Kilbride won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
- Including matches at home between the teams East Kilbride won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
How many head-to-head matches has East Kilbride won against Ayr United?
East Kilbride has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against East Kilbride?
Ayr United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between East Kilbride - Ayr United were as follows:
11.07.2023
East Kilbride
-
Ayr United
0:2
Latest results of East Kilbride
Latest results of Ayr United
Scottish Challenge Cup Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inverness ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | Montrose ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Edinburgh City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Forfar Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Spartans | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | Hamilton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | East Fife | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | Elgin City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Alloa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 6 |
| 16 | Clyde | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Queen of South | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 | East Kilbride | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 20 | Annan | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 21 | St. Mirren B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 | Stirling | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 | Dundee Utd B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 | Hearts B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 25 | Hibernian B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
| 26 | Motherwell B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
| 27 | Rangers B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 0 |
| 28 | Aberdeen B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:16 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Challenge Cup (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inverness is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Stenhousemuir is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Montrose is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
