Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Seaman C. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Weiss M. ,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Lafleur A. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Bennetts J. ,
  • 90+7', 4 - 1, Oliyide K. ,

Chances of winning


Chesham United
30.4%
Draw
28.1%
Ebbsfleet United
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 26.4% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 26.3% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Ebbsfleet United aligns with the current prediction.
  • Chesham United - Ebbsfleet United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.9)
    3.27
    (3.51)
    2.21
    (2.23)
    8.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Chesham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ebbsfleet has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ebbsfleet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ebbsfleet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chesham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesham United - Ebbsfleet United were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Ebbsfleet United - Chesham United 2:1
    Latest results of Chesham United
    Latest results of Ebbsfleet United
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Worthing432391189:484178
    2Dorking432391175:552078
    3Torquay432281379:582174
    4Ebbsfleet4321111169:511874
    5Hornchurch4221101174:601473
    6Maidenhead432191364:402472
    7Hemel Hempstead432191349:45472
    8Chesham432181464:471771
    9Maidstone4320101367:472070
    10Weston-super-Mare422171458:471170
    11Chelmsford422081466:551168
    12Dag & Red4317121457:52563
    13AFC Totton421761952:69-1757
    14Horsham FC4214131549:49055
    15Tonbridge4314121756:60-454
    16Slough431492063:75-1251
    17Dover4313102057:69-1249
    18Hampton & Richmond4313102054:67-1349
    19Salisbury4313102045:60-1549
    20Farnborough4312112062:84-2247
    21Chippenham431182449:73-2441
    22Enfield Town ✔ 438132250:78-2837
    23Bath428132140:69-2937
    24Eastbourne Boro ✔ 43892653:83-3033

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Enfield Town is Relegated to
    Eastbourne Boro is Relegated to