Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Seaman C. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Weiss M. ,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Lafleur A. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Bennetts J. ,
  • 90+7', 4 - 1, Oliyide K. ,

Chances of winning


Chesham United
30.4%
Draw
28.1%
Ebbsfleet United
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 26.4% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 26.3% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Ebbsfleet United aligns with the current prediction.
  • Chesham United - Ebbsfleet United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.9)
    3.27
    (3.51)
    2.21
    (2.23)
    8.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Chesham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ebbsfleet has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ebbsfleet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ebbsfleet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chesham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesham United - Ebbsfleet United were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Ebbsfleet United - Chesham United 2:1
    Latest results of Chesham United
    14.02.2026 Salisbury - Chesham United 1:2
    03.02.2026 Chesham United - Totton Postponed
    27.01.2026 Chesham United - Hornchurch Postponed
    Latest results of Ebbsfleet United
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dorking33206761:392266
    2Worthing33177973:403358
    3Torquay331761062:422057
    4Hornchurch32168854:45956
    5Ebbsfleet341510948:381055
    6Weston-super-Mare31166945:311454
    7Maidenhead321571047:301752
    8Chesham321571040:32852
    9Hemel Hempstead331571135:36-152
    10Chelmsford311551140:41-150
    11Maidstone3413101148:341449
    12Horsham FC341213944:36849
    13Dag & Red3413101145:39649
    14AFC Totton311351341:53-1244
    15Slough331261550:54-442
    16Dover341191448:52-442
    17Tonbridge3410111349:52-341
    18Salisbury341091533:48-1539
    19Hampton & Richmond34991640:54-1436
    20Farnborough32881642:66-2432
    21Bath307101330:41-1131
    22Enfield Town32781739:60-2129
    23Eastbourne Boro35772144:66-2228
    24Chippenham35682136:65-2926

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation