Hornchurch vs Ebbsfleet United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 1 - 0, Balanta A. ,

Chances of winning


Hornchurch
34.7%
Draw
27.5%
Ebbsfleet United
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 25.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 25.7% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Hornchurch - Ebbsfleet United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.38)
    3.35
    (3.64)
    2.44
    (2.62)
    8.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Hornchurch have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ebbsfleet is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hornchurch - Ebbsfleet United were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Ebbsfleet United - Hornchurch 1:1
    Latest results of Hornchurch
    Latest results of Ebbsfleet United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Bye
    2Hemel Hempstead (5)Weston-super-Mare (6)1 : 2
    3Torquay (3)Bye
    4Dorking (4)Maidenhead (7)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Weston-super-Mare (6)2 : 0
    2Torquay (3)Dorking (4)4 : 2

    Final
    1Hornchurch (2)Torquay (3)