Botafogo SP vs EC Noroeste – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/01/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista - Round 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.741.82
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
57
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
78
Passes
58% (135/234)67% (191/283)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.741.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.591.07
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
57
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
69
Shots outside the box
76
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
1826
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1218
Passes
58% (135/234)67% (191/283)
Long passes
34% (22/64)36% (27/74)
Passes in final third
49% (39/79)53% (54/101)
Crosses
21% (5/24)33% (10/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.15
Throw ins
2721
Fouls
1812
Tackles
50% (6/12)75% (9/12)
Duels won
6070
Clearances
4650
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
1.070.59
Goals prevented
0.07-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Maciel L. ,
  • 17', Leo Sena 🟨,
  • 44', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Thiago Lopes , Marlyson ,
  • 63', Sanchez , Denner ,
  • 64', Leo Sena , Leocovick ,
  • 67', Leo Gamalho , Guilherme Queiroz ,
  • 67', Thalles , Carlao ,
  • 77', Rafael Gava , Marquinho ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Carlao , Marlyson (A),
  • 84', Maciel L. 🟨,
  • 84', Jhonny , Renan Araujo ,
  • 85', Pedro Felipe , Cristiano ,
  • 89', Henrique Teles , Marcio Maranhao ,
  • 89', Everton Morelli , Matheus Sales ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Botafogo SP
52.8%
Draw
30.6%
EC Noroeste
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 28.5% 21.4%

Botafogo SP - EC Noroeste Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.82
(1.85)
3.2
(3.24)
6.03
(4.32)
2.8%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - EC Noroeste?
  • Users Predictions: Botafogo SP will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo SP will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Botafogo SP is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - EC Noroeste were as follows:
    24.01.2025 EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP 0:0
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    11.01.2026 Velo Clube - Botafogo SP 0:0
    23.11.2025 Botafogo SP - Avaí 0:0
    16.11.2025 Criciúma - Botafogo SP 2:0
    10.11.2025 Botafogo SP - Amazonas 1:0
    Latest results of EC Noroeste
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Novorizontino641114:6813
    2Palmeiras64026:6012
    3Bragantino633010:1912
    4Guarani63215:4111
    5Portuguesa63037:619
    6Mirassol62229:548
    7Corinthians52216:518
    8Sao Bernardo62227:708
    9Botafogo SP62223:8-58
    10Primavera621310:1007
    11Capivariano52125:7-27
    12Sao Paulo62137:10-37
    13Noroeste61417:617
    14Santos61324:6-26
    15Velo Clube61141:6-54
    16Ponte Preta60152:10-81

          Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista A2