Result
2:3
12/02/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 9
- Referee: Murilo V. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Brasileirao Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (427/504) | 79% (284/358) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 72% (74/103) | 70% (71/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 26% (6/23) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 54% (13/24) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 6', 1 - 0, Dudu Miraima ⚽,
- 14', Cicinho 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 1, Leo Jaba (Pen),
- 22', Pedro Carrerette 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 2, Leo Jaba ⚽, Para (A),
- 33', Maycon 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 3, Daniel Fabricio (Pen),
- 45+2', Felipe Alves 🟨,
- 45+6', 2 - 3, Carlao ⚽, Maykon Jesus (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Matheus Blade ↓, Jenison ↑,
- 61', Maycon ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 61', Rodolfo ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
- 63', Augusto 🟨,
- 75', Jonatas Paulista ↓, Luiz Thiago ↑,
- 75', Thiago Lopes ↓, Adriano Filho ↑,
- 77', Leo Jaba ↓, Felipe Azevedo ↑,
- 77', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Hugo Sanches ↑,
- 81', Maykon Jesus ↓, Felipe Rodrigues ↑,
- 89', Lucas Lima ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
- 89', Romisson ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
- 90+4', Jenison 🟨,
Chances of winning
EC Noroeste
31% | Draw
31.8% | São Bernardo
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
EC Noroeste - São Bernardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↓
(3.18) |
2.91 ↑
(2.83) |
2.49 ↑
(2.37) |
8.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Noroeste is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- São Bernardo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Noroeste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has EC Noroeste won against São Bernardo?
EC Noroeste has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against EC Noroeste?
São Bernardo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EC Noroeste - São Bernardo were as follows:
Latest results of EC Noroeste
Latest results of São Bernardo
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
