São Bernardo vs Floresta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Second stage - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
111
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
216
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
185
Corner Kicks
111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Pablo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Pablo , Guilherme Martineli ,
  • 64', Para , Victor Andrade ,
  • 64', Romarinho , Ruan ,
  • 72', Guilherme Martineli 🟨,
  • 73', Foguinho , Romisson ,
  • 76', Romisson 🟨,
  • 78', Guilherme Nunes , Robson Alemao ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 81', 0 - 1, Jeam ,
  • 88', Jeam , Rubens ,
  • 88', Diego Matos , Rafael Furlan ,
  • 90+5', Mateus Ludke 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


São Bernardo
51.5%
Draw
32.6%
Floresta
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 30.3% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 31.3% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • São Bernardo - Floresta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.8)
    2.87
    (2.99)
    5.85
    (4.71)
    7.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet and 4)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Floresta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, São Bernardo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Floresta were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Floresta - São Bernardo 0:0
    30.08.2025 Floresta - São Bernardo 2:0
    24.08.2024 São Bernardo - Floresta 2:0
    08.06.2023 Floresta - São Bernardo 2:0
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    Latest results of Floresta
    21.09.2025 Floresta - São Bernardo 0:0
    14.09.2025 Londrina - Floresta 0:0
    07.09.2025 Floresta - Caxias 0:0
    30.08.2025 Floresta - São Bernardo 2:0
    23.08.2025 Figueirense - Floresta 1:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amazonas54108:1713
    2Paysandu PA532011:5611
    3Brusque53209:6311
    4Maringa FC530213:1219
    5Guarani52307:439
    6Floresta EC42205:328
    7Inter de Limeira52217:618
    8Ypiranga FC42117:437
    9Ituano42117:527
    10SER Caxias52125:507
    11Botafogo PB52037:8-16
    12Barra FC41216:425
    13Ferroviaria51225:7-25
    14Santa Cruz51132:4-24
    15Figueirense41125:8-34
    16Volta Redonda51133:6-34
    17Maranhao41123:7-44
    18Confianca51042:5-33
    19Anapolis51044:9-53
    20Itabaiana50145:12-71

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D