Result
3:0 penalties
04/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, Lazaro ⚽,
- 90+7', 2 - 0, Lima L. ⚽,
- Penalties (4 - 1)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Marília
52.3% | Draw
28.7% | EC São Bernardo
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)EC São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Marília - EC São Bernardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.69) |
3.14 ↓
(3.41) |
4.74 ↑
(4.64) |
10.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-2. Second leg.
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Marília is considered a favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marília won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Marília won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Marília won against EC São Bernardo?
Marília has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has EC São Bernardo won against Marília?
EC São Bernardo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marília - EC São Bernardo were as follows:
28.03.2026
EC São Bernardo
-
Marília
2:0
24.01.2026
EC São Bernardo
-
Marília
1:1
14.02.2025
Marília
-
EC São Bernardo
3:1
08.03.2024
EC São Bernardo
-
Marília
2:2
Latest results of Marília
Latest results of EC São Bernardo
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Marilia | EC Sao Bernardo | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | XV de Jau | Rio Claro | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Portuguesa Santista | Paulista | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Rio Preto | Uniao Barbarense | 0 : 0, 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Marilia | XV de Jau | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | Rio Preto | 1 : 0 |
