Result
3:2 penalties
18/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Chances of winning
Marília
51% | Draw
30.7% | XV de Jaú
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)XV de Jaú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Marília - XV de Jaú Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.83) |
2.94 ↑
(2.84) |
4.93 ↑
(4.77) |
10.8%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Recent performances by Marília have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- XV de Jaú is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Marília is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marília won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Marília won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Marília won against XV de Jaú?
Marília has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has XV de Jaú won against Marília?
XV de Jaú has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marília - XV de Jaú were as follows:
12.04.2026
XV de Jaú
-
Marília
0:0
15.03.2026
XV de Jaú
-
Marília
1:0
01.02.2025
Marília
-
XV de Jaú
2:1
Latest results of Marília
Latest results of XV de Jaú
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Marilia | EC Sao Bernardo | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | XV de Jau | Rio Claro | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Portuguesa Santista | Paulista | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Rio Preto | Uniao Barbarense | 0 : 0, 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Marilia | XV de Jau | 3 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | Rio Preto | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Marilia | Portuguesa Santista | 0 : 2, 2 : 2 |
