Grêmio vs EC São José Porto Alegre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Recopa Gaucho Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre
Result
2:0
08/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Recopa Gaucho - Final
  • Referee: Guimaraes L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilSporTV 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
79
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Alysson , Dodi (A),
  • 22', 2 - 0, Amuzu F. , Alysson (A),
  • 44', Cristaldo F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Nonato , Kayan ,
  • 47', Gustavo Martins 🟨,
  • 60', Cristaldo F. , Monsalve M. ,
  • 60', Gustavo Martins , Igor Serrote ,
  • 65', Giovane Gomez , Douglas Oliveira ,
  • 65', Lailson , Angelo ,
  • 68', Angelo 🟨,
  • 72', Alysson 🟨,
  • 72', Alysson , Pavon C. ,
  • 73', Amuzu F. , Andre Henrique ,
  • 73', Venicio , Estevao ,
  • 80', Arezo M. , Edenilson ,
  • 84', Jhonata Varela , Evaristo ,

Chances of winning


Grêmio
69.9%
Draw
18.9%
EC São José Porto Alegre
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 21.8% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7% 21.1% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.33)
    4.85
    (3.99)
    8.21
    (6.77)
    9%
    (15%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 4.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Grêmio has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Grêmio is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Grêmio will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre were as follows:
    24.01.2024 Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre 4:1
    29.01.2023 EC São José Porto Alegre - Grêmio 0:1
    Latest results of Grêmio
    12.06.2025 Grêmio - Corinthians 1:1
    01.06.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 0:2
    25.05.2025 Grêmio - Bahia 1:0
    20.05.2025 Grêmio - CS Alagoano 0:0
    Draw
    2025

    Final
    1GremioEC Sao Jose2 : 0