Joinville vs EC São José Porto Alegre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Arena Joinville (Joinville).

Serie D - Round 13

Match Stats


Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
3	4
Corner Kicks
4	0
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
7	5
Corner Kicks
4	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Rene ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Chances of winning

Joinville
41.6%

Draw
34.1%

EC São José Porto Alegre
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joinville's performance.

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC São José Porto Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joinville that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joinville - EC São José Porto Alegre Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.63)	2.72 ↓ (3.1)	3.82 ↑ (2.45)	7.8% (11.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Joinville - EC São José Porto Alegre?

Users Predictions: Joinville will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joinville will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
EC São José is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Joinville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Joinville won against EC São José Porto Alegre?

Joinville has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has EC São José Porto Alegre won against Joinville?

EC São José Porto Alegre has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Joinville - EC São José Porto Alegre were as follows:

27.04.2025 EC São José Porto Alegre - Joinville 1:1

Latest results of Joinville

13.07.2025 Azuriz - Joinville 0:0 ✺

06.07.2025 Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias 1:1 ✺

30.06.2025 Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville 1:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Joinville - São Luiz 2:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville 1:0 ✺

Latest results of EC São José Porto Alegre

13.07.2025 EC São José Porto Alegre - Brasil de Pelotas 1:0 ✺

08.07.2025 Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre 2:0 ✺

05.07.2025 EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé 0:1 ✺

30.06.2025 São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:2 ✺

14.06.2025 EC São José Porto Alegre - Barra Santa Catarina 3:3 ✺

Brazilian Serie D Table

2026

Group 1

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nacional-AM	4	3	0	1	8:6	2	9
2	Manauara	4	2	2	0	7:3	4	8
3	Sao Raimundo RR	4	2	2	0	4:1	3	8
4	Manaus	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
5	Monte Roraima	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2
6	GAS	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Group 2

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guapore	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
2	Araguaina	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8
3	Porto Velho	4	2	0	2	10:4	6	6
4	Galvez	4	2	0	2	4:7	-3	6
5	Independencia	4	1	1	2	5:4	1	4
6	Humaita	4	0	0	4	2:12	-10	0

Group 3

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gama	4	3	1	0	6:1	5	10
2	Luverdense	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
3	Aparecidense	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6
4	Brasiliense	4	1	3	0	3:2	1	6
5	Primavera AC	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
6	Inhumas	4	0	0	4	2:8	-6	0

Group 4

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Goiatuba	4	3	1	0	5:2	3	10
2	Capital	4	3	0	1	4:2	2	9
3	Mixto	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
4	Uniao Rondonopolis	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
5	Ceilandia	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4
6	Operario VG	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1

Group 5

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Trem	4	2	2	0	7:4	3	8
2	Aguia De Maraba	4	1	3	0	6:4	2	6
3	Imperatriz	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6
4	Tuna Luso	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
5	Oratorio	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3
6	Tocantinopolis	4	0	2	2	3:7	-4	2

Group 6

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Iguatu	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
2	Maracana	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
3	Moto Club	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
4	Parnahyba	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
5	Sampaio Correa	3	0	2	1	0:1	-1	2
6	IAPE	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2

Group 7

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Fluminense-PI	4	2	2	0	7:3	4	8
2	Piaui	4	2	1	1	8:6	2	7
3	Ferroviario	4	2	1	1	6:4	2	7
4	AE Altos	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
5	Atletico-CE	4	0	3	1	1:3	-2	3
6	Tirol	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2

Group 8

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	ABC	4	3	0	1	7:4	3	9
2	America RN	4	3	0	1	5:2	3	9
3	Central SC	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
4	Maguary	4	2	0	2	5:3	2	6
5	Sousa	4	1	0	3	2:5	-3	3
6	Laguna RN	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Group 9

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Treze PB	4	2	1	1	11:7	4	7
2	Sergipe	4	2	1	1	7:6	1	7
3	Serra Branca	4	1	3	0	7:4	3	6
4	Lagarto	4	1	1	2	8:10	-2	4
5	Retro	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4
6	Decisao	4	1	1	2	5:8	-3	4

Group 10

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juazeirense	4	4	0	0	9:3	6	12
2	CSA	4	2	1	1	8:4	4	7
3	ASA	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
4	CSE	4	1	1	2	5:7	-2	4
5	Jacuipense	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4
6	Alagoinhas	4	0	0	4	2:8	-6	0

Group 11

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Uberlandia	4	3	0	1	6:3	3	9
2	Ivinhema	4	3	0	1	6:4	2	9
3	Betim	4	2	1	1	5:4	1	7
4	CRAC	4	1	1	2	3:3	0	4
5	Operario MS	4	0	3	1	2:4	-2	3
6	Ouvidorense	4	0	1	3	1:5	-4	1

Group 12

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tombense	4	2	1	1	4:1	3	7
2	Rio Branco ES	4	2	1	1	7:5	2	7
3	Democrata GV	4	2	1	1	3:2	1	7
4	Vitoria ES	4	2	0	2	7:4	3	6
5	Porto-BA	4	2	0	2	4:8	-4	6
6	Real Noroeste	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Group 13

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Portuguesa RJ	4	2	2	0	7:1	6	8
2	Portuguesa	4	2	2	0	6:2	4	8
3	Agua Santa	4	2	0	2	7:4	3	6
4	Madureira	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
5	America RJ	4	1	1	2	4:11	-7	4
6	Pouso Alegre	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3

Group 14

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Piracicaba	4	2	2	0	8:4	4	8
2	Velo Clube	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
3	Marica	4	2	1	1	5:4	1	7
4	Sampaio Correa FE	4	2	1	1	4:4	0	7
5	Noroeste	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
6	Nova Iguacu	4	0	1	3	2:7	-5	1

Group 15

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Joinville	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
2	Cascavel	4	2	1	1	3:1	2	7
3	Cianorte	4	2	0	2	5:4	1	6
4	Sao Luiz	4	1	2	1	5:6	-1	5
5	Santa Catarina	4	1	1	2	6:7	-1	4
6	Guarany de Bage	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Group 16

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Blumenau	4	4	0	0	8:2	6	12
2	Brasil de Pelotas	4	2	1	1	6:4	2	7
3	Sao Joseense	4	2	1	1	2:2	0	7
4	Marcilio Dias	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
5	Azuriz	4	0	1	3	1:4	-3	1
6	EC Sao Jose	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)