Joinville vs EC São José Porto Alegre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Joinville - EC São José Porto Alegre
Result
0:2
20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
40
Total shots
109
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
40
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Rene ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 0 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Joinville
41.6%
Draw
34.1%
EC São José Porto Alegre
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 29% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 28.9% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joinville's performance.
  • EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC São José Porto Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joinville that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Joinville - EC São José Porto Alegre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.63)
    2.72
    (3.1)
    3.82
    (2.45)
    7.8%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Joinville - EC São José Porto Alegre?
  • Users Predictions: Joinville will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Joinville will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • EC São José is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Joinville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Joinville - EC São José Porto Alegre were as follows:
    27.04.2025 EC São José Porto Alegre - Joinville 1:1
    Latest results of Joinville
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao
    2America RNImperatriz
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES
    7MixtoCianorte
    8Barra FCCeilandia