Result
2:0
13/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- TUNISIA: Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Arfaoui Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, Ajmani A. ⚽, Chabbi A. (A),
- 58', Diame Pape M. ↓, Lingazou S. ↑,
- 70', Ouled Behi A. ↓, Faleh M. ↑,
- 70', Ammar M. A. ↓, Barhoumi A. ↑,
- 70', Hajji B. ↓, Helal H. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Mbarek H. ⚽,
- 75', Ben Hassine F. ↓, Al Omrani A. ↑,
- 78', Chabbi A. 🟨,
- 82', Mbarek H. ↓,
- 82', Ajmani A. ↓, Chokri A. ↑,
- 88', Mazhoud A. ↓, Dinari M. ↑,
- 90+2', Jouini A. ↓, Yasser T. ↑,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
EGS Gafsa 58.5% | Draw 25.5% | Métlaoui 16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EGS Gafsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EGS Gafsa's performance.Métlaoui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Métlaoui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (-17.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EGS Gafsa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Métlaoui than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Métlaoui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
EGS Gafsa - Métlaoui Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↓ (2.21) |
3.58 ↑ (3.1) |
5.71 ↑ (3.1) |
9.4% (9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for EGS Gafsa - Métlaoui?
Users Predictions:
EGS Gafsa will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gafsa won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Gafsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Gafsa will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Gafsa won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gafsa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has EGS Gafsa won against Métlaoui?
EGS Gafsa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Métlaoui won against EGS Gafsa?
Métlaoui has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EGS Gafsa - Métlaoui were as follows:
01.12.2024
Métlaoui
-
EGS Gafsa
2:1
01.06.2024
Métlaoui
-
EGS Gafsa
1:1
09.03.2024
EGS Gafsa
-
Métlaoui
1:0
Latest results of EGS Gafsa
Latest results of Métlaoui
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Club Africain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
2 | Zarzis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
3 | Stade Tunisien | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Metlaoui | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
5 | AS Marsa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
6 | JS Omrane | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
7 | JS Kairouan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Ben Guerdane | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
9 | CA Bizertin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
10 | Esperance Tunis | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
11 | Monastir | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
12 | AS Gabes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
13 | CS Sfaxien | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Olympique Beja | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Soliman | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Etoile Sahel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2