Eibar vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 17
  • Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.33
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
84% (437/518)76% (290/381)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.571.97
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
103
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
4214
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
812
Passes
84% (437/518)76% (290/381)
Long passes
51% (26/51)45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
71% (126/177)68% (44/65)
Crosses
32% (10/31)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.72
Throw-ins
1626
Fouls
128
Tackles
68% (13/19)64% (16/25)
Duels won
5861
Clearances
1036
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.972.57
Goals prevented
-0.031.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Arbilla A. , Magunazelaia Argoitia J. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Justo M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45', Ojeda T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Ojeda T. , Hinojo R. (A),
  • 52', Ares A. 🟨,
  • 56', Nolaskoain P. 🟨,
  • 56', Ares A. , Madariaga A. ,
  • 56', Martinez J. , Garrido A. ,
  • 62', Hinojo R. 🟨,
  • 67', Tresaco R. 🟨,
  • 67', Ribeiro L. , Bicho ,
  • 67', Ribeiro T. , Mboula J. ,
  • 68', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. , Javier Marton ,
  • 84', Alvarez S. , Buta L. ,
  • 84', Moreno M. , Villa T. ,
  • 87', Chacon L. , Gonzalez Y. ,
  • 87', Diallo Selu M. , Pibe ,
  • 90+2', Justo M. , Collado D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Eibar
54.9%
Draw
27.6%
Leonesa
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 24.7% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 23.9% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Eibar - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.63)
    3.42
    (3.82)
    5.34
    (5.46)
    6.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Eibar - Leonesa?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Leonesa will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 25.1%83.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.25 - Eibar (5.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Eibar is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Sobrino R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Rodri Suarez (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Eibar
    03.12.2025 Pontevedra - Eibar 0:3
    30.11.2025 Racing Santander - Eibar 4:0
    22.11.2025 Eibar - Zaragoza 1:2
    16.11.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Eibar 1:1
    08.11.2025 Eibar - Albacete Balompié 3:2
    Latest results of Leonesa
    03.12.2025 Leonesa - FC Andorra 4:2
    29.11.2025 Leonesa - Granada 0:1
    23.11.2025 Cádiz - Leonesa 1:2
    17.11.2025 Leonesa - Málaga 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

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