Eibar vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 17
  • Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.33
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
84% (437/518)76% (290/381)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.571.97
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
103
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
4214
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
812
Passes
84% (437/518)76% (290/381)
Long passes
51% (26/51)45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
71% (126/177)68% (44/65)
Crosses
32% (10/31)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.72
Throw-ins
1626
Fouls
128
Tackles
68% (13/19)64% (16/25)
Duels won
5861
Clearances
1036
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.972.57
Goals prevented
-0.031.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Arbilla A. , Magunazelaia Argoitia J. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Justo M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45', Ojeda T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Ojeda T. , Hinojo R. (A),
  • 52', Ares A. 🟨,
  • 56', Nolaskoain P. 🟨,
  • 56', Ares A. , Madariaga A. ,
  • 56', Martinez J. , Garrido A. ,
  • 62', Hinojo R. 🟨,
  • 67', Tresaco R. 🟨,
  • 67', Ribeiro L. , Bicho ,
  • 67', Ribeiro T. , Mboula J. ,
  • 68', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. , Javier Marton ,
  • 84', Alvarez S. , Buta L. ,
  • 84', Moreno M. , Villa T. ,
  • 87', Chacon L. , Gonzalez Y. ,
  • 87', Diallo Selu M. , Pibe ,
  • 90+2', Justo M. , Collado D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Eibar
54.9%
Draw
27.6%
Leonesa
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 24.7% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 23.9% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Eibar - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.63)
    3.42
    (3.82)
    5.34
    (5.46)
    6.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Eibar - Leonesa?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Leonesa will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 25.1%83.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.25 - Eibar (5.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Eibar is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Sobrino R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Rodri Suarez (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Eibar
    03.12.2025 Pontevedra - Eibar 0:3
    30.11.2025 Racing Santander - Eibar 4:0
    22.11.2025 Eibar - Zaragoza 1:2
    16.11.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Eibar 1:1
    08.11.2025 Eibar - Albacete Balompié 3:2
    Latest results of Leonesa
    03.12.2025 Leonesa - FC Andorra 4:2
    29.11.2025 Leonesa - Granada 0:1
    23.11.2025 Cádiz - Leonesa 1:2
    17.11.2025 Leonesa - Málaga 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander31185862:441859
    2Dep. La Coruna31167848:351355
    3Almeria31167859:431655
    4Malaga31166952:371554
    5Las Palmas311312640:241651
    6Burgos CF31148936:261050
    7Castellon30147949:371249
    8Eibar311291033:30345
    9Gijon311361242:39345
    10Ceuta311351339:50-1144
    11Albacete311191139:40-142
    12Cordoba311181241:47-641
    13Real Sociedad B311171344:43140
    14Granada CF319121037:34339
    15Andorra311091237:42-539
    16Cadiz CF311081331:39-838
    17Leganes319101236:34237
    18Valladolid31991336:45-936
    19Huesca31871630:45-1531
    20Zaragoza31791527:43-1630
    21Mirandes31761830:50-2027
    22Cultural Leonesa30761728:49-2127

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