Eibar vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 17
  • Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.33
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
84% (437/518)76% (290/381)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.571.97
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
103
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
4214
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
812
Passes
84% (437/518)76% (290/381)
Long passes
51% (26/51)45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
71% (126/177)68% (44/65)
Crosses
32% (10/31)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.72
Throw-ins
1626
Fouls
128
Tackles
68% (13/19)64% (16/25)
Duels won
5861
Clearances
1036
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.972.57
Goals prevented
-0.031.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Arbilla A. , Magunazelaia Argoitia J. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Justo M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45', Ojeda T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Ojeda T. , Hinojo R. (A),
  • 52', Ares A. 🟨,
  • 56', Nolaskoain P. 🟨,
  • 56', Ares A. , Madariaga A. ,
  • 56', Martinez J. , Garrido A. ,
  • 62', Hinojo R. 🟨,
  • 67', Tresaco R. 🟨,
  • 67', Ribeiro L. , Bicho ,
  • 67', Ribeiro T. , Mboula J. ,
  • 68', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. , Javier Marton ,
  • 84', Alvarez S. , Buta L. ,
  • 84', Moreno M. , Villa T. ,
  • 87', Chacon L. , Gonzalez Y. ,
  • 87', Diallo Selu M. , Pibe ,
  • 90+2', Justo M. , Collado D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Eibar
54.9%
Draw
27.6%
Leonesa
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 24.7% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 23.9% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Eibar - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.63)
    3.42
    (3.82)
    5.34
    (5.46)
    6.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Eibar - Leonesa?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Leonesa will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 25.1%83.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.25 - Eibar (5.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Eibar is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Sobrino R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Rodri Suarez (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Eibar
    03.12.2025 Pontevedra - Eibar 0:3
    30.11.2025 Racing Santander - Eibar 4:0
    22.11.2025 Eibar - Zaragoza 1:2
    16.11.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Eibar 1:1
    08.11.2025 Eibar - Albacete Balompié 3:2
    Latest results of Leonesa
    03.12.2025 Leonesa - FC Andorra 4:2
    29.11.2025 Leonesa - Granada 0:1
    23.11.2025 Cádiz - Leonesa 1:2
    17.11.2025 Leonesa - Málaga 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

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