Leonesa vs Eibar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Leonesa - Eibar
Result
2:1
16/05/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 40
  • Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.941.82
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
33
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
44
Passes
84% (409/485)82% (341/414)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.941.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.33
Total shots
814
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
16
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
15
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
26
Free kicks
1112
Passes
84% (409/485)82% (341/414)
Long passes
47% (26/55)58% (42/72)
Passes in final third
68% (77/113)66% (61/93)
Crosses
15% (2/13)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.59
Throw ins
1119
Fouls
1211
Tackles
58% (7/12)46% (6/13)
Duels won
5046
Clearances
1214
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
1.331.34
Goals prevented
0.33-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Barzic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 🟨,
  • 56', Chacon L. 🟨,
  • 58', Alvarez S. ↓, Olaetxea L. ↑,
  • 58', Al Amin H. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
  • 58', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↓, Madariaga A. ↑,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Moreno V. ⚽, Radoja N. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 0, Barzic M. ⚽, Ribeiro L. (A),
  • 67', Garrido A. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
  • 67', Moreno M. ↓, Bernat J. ↑,
  • 75', Fornos Q. ↓, Ribeiro T. ↑,
  • 76', Collado D. ↓, Morante A. ↑,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Corpas J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 86', Corpas J. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
  • 87', Chacon L. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
  • 88', Ribeiro L. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
  • 88', Jair 🟨,

Chances of winning


Leonesa
30.6%
Draw
28.9%
Eibar
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 29.8% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 30.3% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Leonesa - Eibar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09 ↑
    (2.99)
    3.24 ↑
    (3.16)
    2.33 ↓
    (2.43)
    6.1%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leonesa - Eibar?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Eibar will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 58.6% – 97%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Eibar (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • Leonesa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Eibar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Calero I. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Eibar: Guruzeta J. (Muscle Injury) Nolaskoain P. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Fornos Q. (Injury) Justo M. (Injury) Ojeda T. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Eibar were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Eibar - Leonesa 1:2
    Latest results of Leonesa
    02.05.2026 Leonesa - Cádiz 2:2 ✺
    26.04.2026 Mirandés - Leonesa 2:1 ✺
    18.04.2026 Leonesa - Córdoba 1:2 ✺
    12.04.2026 Granada - Leonesa 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Eibar
    10.05.2026 Mirandés - Eibar 0:1 ✺
    02.05.2026 Eibar - Málaga 2:4 ✺
    24.04.2026 Albacete Balompié - Eibar 0:3 ✺
    19.04.2026 Eibar - Huesca 2:1 ✺
    13.04.2026 Valladolid - Eibar 0:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eibar870118:71121
    2Castellon862015:31220
    3Almeria860213:5818
    4Girona842214:8614
    5Mallorca84228:3514
    6Burgos CF842212:9314
    7Sabadell83418:6213
    8Gijon84138:8013
    9Granada CF832313:13011
    10Oviedo83238:8011
    11Las Palmas832312:13-111
    12Tenerife832310:12-211
    13Leganes83236:11-511
    14Valladolid82338:11-39
    15Cordoba830513:18-59
    16Real Sociedad B822411:13-28
    17Eldense82248:10-28
    18Celta Vigo B822410:14-48
    19Cadiz CF814311:1017
    20Andorra821512:15-37
    21Ceuta81257:18-115
    22Albacete80175:15-101

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