Result
2:0
27/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 76% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (32/50) | 48% (22/46) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 42% (15/36) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 33% (3/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 36% (18/50) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (20/36) | 69% (11/16) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (5/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (37/66) | 46% (38/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (44/82) | 44% (29/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (81/148) | 45% (67/148) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 40% (4/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 45% (5/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 43% (9/21) |
Chances of winning
Ekaterina Alexandrova
59.9% | Darya Kasatkina
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Ekaterina Alexandrova - Darya Kasatkina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.57) |
|
2.38 ↑
(2.19) |
4.9%
(9.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Darya Kasatkina?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 53.8% – 96.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -2 Games - Alexandrova (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Kasatkina (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 22. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 14.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 3.
- Alexandrova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Kasatkina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Kasatkina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Alexandrova will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ekaterina Alexandrova won against Darya Kasatkina?
Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Darya Kasatkina has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Alexandrova - Darya Kasatkina were as follows:
13.08.2024
Ekaterina Alexandrova
-
Darya Kasatkina
0:2
06.10.2022
Ekaterina Alexandrova
-
Darya Kasatkina
2:0
Latest results of Ekaterina Alexandrova
Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Stearns P. | Boisson L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Uchijima M. | Starodubtseva Y. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Cristian J. (29) | |
| 5 | Bouzkova M. (23) | Bye | |
| 6 | Kalinina A. (Q) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Zakharova A. | Osorio C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Osaka N. (14) | |
| 9 | Bencic B. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Marcinko P. | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Haddad Maia B. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Shnaider D. (18) | |
| 13 | Baptiste H. (30) | Bye | |
| 14 | Quevedo K. (WC) | Williams V. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Siegemund L. | Begu I. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (8) | |
| 17 | Swiatek I. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Snigur D. (Q) | Kasatkina D. | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Parks A. (Q) | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Li A. (31) | |
| 21 | Fernandez L. (24) | Bye | |
| 22 | Badosa P. (WC) | Grabher J. | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Montgomery R. (WC) | Linette M. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Jovic I. (15) | |
| 25 | Andreeva M. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Udvardy P. (LL) | Birrell K. | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Galfi D. (Q) | Tomljanovic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (22) | |
| 29 | Wang Xin. (28) | Bye | |
| 30 | Maria T. | Samson L. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Bondar A. | Golubic V. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Svitolina E. (7) | |
| 33 | Pegula J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Townsend T. | Boulter K. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Putintseva Y. | Valentova T. | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Kostyuk M. (26) | |
| 37 | Blinkova A. (Alt) | Bye | |
| 38 | Kalieva E. (Q) | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | McNally C. | Volynets K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Mboko V. (10) | |
| 41 | Noskova L. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Gibson T. | Arango E. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Tjen J. | Charaeva A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Samsonova L. (20) | |
| 45 | Cirstea S. (25) | Bye | |
| 46 | Jacquemot E. | Grant T. C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Selekhmeteva O. | Jeanjean L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Gauff C. (3) | |
| 49 | Frech M. (34) | Bye | |
| 50 | Yastremska D. | Sierra S. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Sonmez Z. | Martinez Cirez C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Bucsa C. (27) | |
| 53 | Mertens E. (19) | Bye | |
| 54 | Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q) | Eala A. | 0 : 2 |
| 55 | Pliskova Ka. | Kraus S. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Sakkari M. (33) | |
| 57 | Potapova A. (LL) | Bye | |
| 58 | Zhang S. | Lys E. | 2 : 0 |
| 59 | Oliynykova O. | Waltert S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (21) | |
| 61 | Zheng Q. (32) | Bye | |
| 62 | Krueger A. | Kenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Ruse G. | Ruzic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Rybakina E. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Stearns P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Starodubtseva Y. | Cristian J. (29) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bouzkova M. (23) | Kalinina A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Osorio C. | Osaka N. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Bencic B. (11) | Marcinko P. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Shnaider D. (18) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Baptiste H. (30) | Quevedo K. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Siegemund L. | Paolini J. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Swiatek I. (4) | Snigur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Parks A. | Li A. (31) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Fernandez L. (24) | Grabher J. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Linette M. | Jovic I. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Andreeva M. (9) | Udvardy P. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Galfi D. | Kalinskaya A. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Wang Xin. (28) | Samson L. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bondar A. | Svitolina E. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Pegula J. (5) | Boulter K. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Putintseva Y. | Kostyuk M. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Blinkova A. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | McNally C. | Mboko V. (10) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Noskova L. (13) | Arango E. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Tjen J. | Samsonova L. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Cirstea S. (25) | Grant T. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Jeanjean L. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Frech M. (34) | Sierra S. | 0 : 2 |
| 26 | Sonmez Z. | Bucsa C. (27) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Mertens E. (19) | Eala A. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Pliskova Ka. | Sakkari M. (33) | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Potapova A. | Zhang S. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Waltert S. | Ostapenko J. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Zheng Q. (32) | Kenin S. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Ruse G. | Rybakina E. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Cristian J. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kalinina A. | Osaka N. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Bencic B. (11) | Shnaider D. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Baptiste H. (30) | Paolini J. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Swiatek I. (RET.) (4) | Li A. (31) | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fernandez L. (24) | Jovic I. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Andreeva M. (9) | Galfi D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Samson L. | Bondar A. | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pegula J. (5) | Kostyuk M. (26) | |
| 10 | Siniakova K. | McNally C. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Noskova L. (WO.) (13) | Samsonova L. (20) | |
| 12 | Cirstea S. (25) | Gauff C. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Sierra S. | Sonmez Z. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Mertens E. (19) | Pliskova Ka. | |
| 15 | Potapova A. | Ostapenko J. (21) | |
| 16 | Zheng Q. (32) | Rybakina E. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Osaka N. (14) | |
| 2 | Bencic B. (11) | Baptiste H. (30) | |
| 3 | Li A. (31) | Fernandez L. (24) | |
| 4 | Andreeva M. (9) | Bondar A. | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | McNally C. | |
| 6 | Noskova L. (13) | Gauff C. (3) | |
| 7 | Sierra S. | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | TBD #16 | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
