Result
1:0
19/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 5
- Referee: El Amrawi S. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (195/291) | 76% (292/384) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (195/291) | 76% (292/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (19/71) | 47% (40/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (34/81) | 58% (69/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 16% (5/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mohsen M. ⚽, El Gazar O. (A),
- 45+2', El Gazar O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hassan M. ↓, Farag N. ↑,
- 55', Ahmed O. ↓, Al Nabris K. ↑,
- 64', Salah R. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
- 64', El Zahdi A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
- 74', Abdelsalam A. ↓, Mohamed Sukar H. ↑,
- 74', Samiae M. ↓, El Malawany A. ↑,
- 79', Ammar M. 🟨,
- 81', Refaat A. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
- 88', El Gazar O. ↓, Metawea M. ↑,
- 89', Mohsen M. ↓, El Nahas M. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Gouna
40.5% | Draw
37.1% | Ismaily
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Gouna that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ismaily could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
El Gouna - Ismaily Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.21) |
2.52 ↓
(2.67) |
4.16 ↑
(4.01) |
7.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for El Gouna - Ismaily?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ismaily will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 3.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Ismaily may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ismaily has had a series of away games.
- In this match, El Gouna is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Gouna won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Ismaily?
El Gouna has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ismaily won against El Gouna?
Ismaily has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - Ismaily were as follows:
28.02.2026
Ismaily
-
El Gouna
1:2
10.12.2025
Ismaily
-
El Gouna
1:3
25.05.2025
Ismaily
-
El Gouna
3:0
12.02.2025
El Gouna
-
Ismaily
2:0
22.07.2024
Ismaily
-
El Gouna
1:1
Latest results of El Gouna
Latest results of Ismaily
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | ZED | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 39 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 31 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 31 |
| 15 | El Gaish | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 28 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 28 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 23 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 22 |
| 20 | Pharco | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 20 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 18 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
